The Speculist: Five futurist visionaries and what they got right

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Five futurist visionaries and what they got right

When I saw this one, I immediately thought of the Speculist:

Within 50 years humans will merge with machines and become both superintelligent and immortal, in an event known as the technological singularity. So says the ever-controversial futurist Ray Kurzweil. We pick his brains on his latest initiative, the Singularity University, and on his plan to use advancing technology to bring his father back from the dead in our exclusive interview with him this week.

Kurzweil is just one of many players who have tried to map out the future of the human race, and tried to ensure that their vision comes true,

Check out the full article here.

The five futurists listed were Vernor Vinge, Walt Disney, Alvin Toffler, the Club of Rome and H.G. Wells. All of the descriptions are interesting. The one on the Club of Rome is particularly interesting in that it stated flatly that all of the predictions as to how economic development would continue on their "business as usual track" turned out to be true. BUT, they failed to account for accelerating technological development. Oopsie. But, I guess they had a reasonably good excuse. Like most futurists in the Seventies, they had either never heard of the concept of acceleration or discounted it as unwarranted optimism.

Comments

Slightly off topic since its not in the future, its happening now: an attempt at a Star Trek type replicator technology using todays primitive machines :-)

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