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August 17, 2010


What Next?

The Singularity Summit was an exciting two days. I had a great time meeting up with old friends and making new ones. I hope I was able to convey a little of the energy and give a glimpse of some of the amazing ideas that were covered.

So now what?

Well, being in that environment helps to remind me of why we do what we do at the Speculist. We live in an era of unprecedented change, and it's a great privilege to be even a small part of that. In reporting and commenting on this change as it occurs, The Speculist and FastForward Radio are here to get the word out, to describe both the opportunities and risks we face as we move towards this new horizon.

So now what happens is that we keep on doing what we do, only (I hope) we do more of it and we do it better. I've been working in the background over the past couple of months to give this site a new look and feel. I'm hoping to have that wrapped up very soon.

More importantly, Stephen has gone Twitter on us in a huge way, which has given us a serious and much-needed infusion of new future content. Keep it up, buddy.

I realize that I've been waffling about our special summer-now-autumn series on the podcast, but I am digging in and waffling no more. Even if the website doesn't get finished soon, even if we run into a period where things are hard to schedule -- no matter what -- we're moving ahead with a new series of shows updating and amplifying our World Transformed series last summer. I am outlining this series now and will begin scheduling guests and promoting the new shows as soon as Stephen and I have had the chance to confer.

I really want FastForward Radio to be a weekly Singularity Summit (or H+ conference, or Foresigh Vision Weekend) for those who are unable to attend or who have not yet attended such an event. And I want the Speculist to be a daily version.

If we can pass on to those reading and lsitening even a small portion of what occurs at such events, we'll be doing our job.

August 3, 2010


Speaking of Starting this Blog Today

Happy Birthday Candles on Angel Foods Cake

Image by Rob J Brooks via Flickr

Sometimes we're so busy hurtling headlong into an astounding future that we miss the little things. The dashed-off ending to my previous entry reminded me that we just passed quite a landmark. On Sunday, the Speculist turned seven.

How appropriate that a flying car post should remind me of that!

Well a great big Happy Birthday to us!

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June 29, 2010


Comments Update


UPDATE: Looks like we're back in business. Typekey registration is now required for commenting. If you're not already registered with Typekey, it's easy to do, and you can use your Facebook account if you prefer.

June 28, 2010


Comments Temporarily Disabled

I'm sorting through some issues related to our new version of Movable Type. Expect to have comments back later sometime today. Sorry for the inconvencience.

June 14, 2010


Thanks for the Coverage

Many thanks to guest blogger Leslie Kirschner for her posts on the H+ summit over the weekend. Great stuff.

Leslie, now that you've got a Speculist account we hope you won't be a stranger around here.

February 8, 2010


How I Love a Good Headline

This is one of the best I've seen in a while:

World's Biggest Snake Ate New Prehistoric Croc Species

Whats not to like? You've got the world's biggest snake, a prehistoric croc -- and not just one of those tired old prehistoric crocs, but apparently a new one!

A good headline, to be sure, but probably not among the all-time greats.

January 26, 2010


Light Blogging and no FFR

Stephen is still recovering from a major case of the crud -- get well soon, buddy! -- and I am more than usually busy with the day job right now, as evidenced by the light blogging the last couple of weeks. So no FastForward Radio tonight but we plan to be back up and running next Tuesday.

October 29, 2009


Climate Change

Lovely autumn scenes from the metro Denver area. About 2 feet so far and now it's really coming down. I can't shovel fast enough to keep up.

snowhouse.jpg

snowfence.jpg

That drift on the fence peaks at about eye level, with heavy stuff up to shoulder level.

September 10, 2009


iBlogging

Well, I thought I might try blogging via the new phone.

Seems to work pretty well. But don't know about this little keyboard. Either it needs to be bigger or my thumbs need to be about half their current size. (Talk about spot reducing!)

I can see why Twitter emerged in the era of mobile devices. There is something to be said for keeping it brief. I don't think I'll be doing any 1000-word posts on this thing any time soon.

Still. Pretty cool.

UPDATE: Here's some sideways video I shot on the camera and uploaded directly to YouTube.

Yes, for those who like that sort of thing, I think the Speculist will feature a lot more goatblogging now that we are so well equipped for it.

May 29, 2009


Since I Haven't Gotten Around to Saying it Yet...

Go Nuggets!

UPDATE: While I'm tempted to say something along the lines of...

Sheesh, after all these years I finally start following the NBA for this?

I guess the old standby "We'll get 'em next year!" will have to do.

April 10, 2009


Meet the Future of Humanity

Her name is Sefra Rose Bowermaster. She arrived on the scene this morning at 7:41 Am MDT. Weighing an impressive 8 lbs. 14 oz and measuring 19 3/4 inches long, she is an American / Malaysian hybrid and clearly destined for greatness. What a future she will see! The pictures tell the whole story.

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The Mother

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The Father

thebaby.jpg
The Baby

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First Ever Group Shot

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Spending Time with Big Sister

I, for one, welcome our new adorable baby overlord.

March 20, 2009


Michael Sargent 1969-2009

MikeSargent.JPGIt is with great sorrow that I pass on the news that our dear friend and co-blogger Michael Sargent was killed in an automobile accident yesterday. The Colorado Springs Gazette reports:

Michael Sargent made "the future" his hobby. A science buff with a penchant for computers, the 39-year-old Colorado Springs man blogged for The Speculist, a Web site that explores how emerging technology and trends might change the world. Its motto: "Live to see it."

Sargent won't get to.

He was killed after a speeding pickup ran a red light and slammed into his car at Marksheffel Road and Constitution Avenue late Thursday. The computer technician, who was heading to his northern Colorado Springs home after work at Schriever Air Force Base, was pronounced dead at the hospital. He was wearing a seatbelt, but his 2002 Saturn coupe was broadsided on the driver's side.

Mike had a broad spectrum of interests and a sense of humor that could sneak up on you. He wrote on this site about robotics, artificial intelligence, energy, transportation, space travel (one of his favorite topics) and why in Spain it rains more often on the weekend than during the week. He cohosted FastForward Radio a couple of times, which was something I encouraged him to do more often. He agreed that podcasting was the perfect medium for The Speculist seeing as he, Stephen, and I all had faces "made for radio."

In his brief autobiography at the Speculist home page, he wrote:

The perspective Michael brings to the Speculist is born out of his roots in a small community with a relatively short history. Social networks on the Front Range tend to be smaller and flatter than they might be in other places. The number of relationships between one's self and certain socially- and historically- important figures is small. As examples, in his brief lifetime, Michael has personally met the all-around rodeo cowboy of 1906, multiple Governors, Soviet Cosmonaut Gherman Titov, and presidential candidate Gary Hart among others. All of this serves as justification to his personal belief that individuals, and the exchange of ideas among them, are the most fundamental influence on the direction and rate of technological and cultural change. Each individual has the capacity, and indeed the responsibility, to be aware of potential changes on the horizon, to evaluate them against personal preferences and values, and to exert their own influence on the process of either bringing these changes to pass or preventing others from doing so.

That responsibility was one that Mike took seriously, and the web community of futurists and technology enthusiasts will be poorer for his absence. He will be sorely missed.

Our deepest condolences to Peggy, to Mike's family, and to his many friends.

UPDATE: In lieu of flowers, Peggy Sargent has asked that donations be sent to the American Heart Association.

December 9, 2008


Condolences

...to Paul and Diana on the loss of a dear friend.

August 13, 2008


More From Last Week

As promised, here's my take on the customer event my team and I put on at Techwave in Las Vegas. This one (perhaps) provides a little more context.

Or watch it on Youtube and click the Watch in High Quality link to see it in all its glory.

August 7, 2008


Busy, Busy, Busy

Sorry I haven't been blogging the last couple of weeks, but I've been putting in much longer work hours than normal.

Sometimes you just have to do what you have to do...

(Lots more embarrassing video here.)

June 13, 2008


The Speculist - Still Written by Humans

I hesitate to link to this, because it might be just a joke. Well, it looks like a joke that was somehow taken seriously enough to become a business. Sort of.

Introducing Autoblogger! Their bot will write blog posts for you while you're out having a life. Here's the hilarious video explaining the "need" for this service:


Autoblogger users give examples of their blog posts and the service will churn out mindless drivel supposedly in the blogger's style.

Comment spammers have used similar systems in the past. Those systems would try to reword something in the post but then link to fake viagra or something. The idea is to try to make the comment look like its on point - and therefore less likely to get deleted.

Anyway, since we actually respect our readers, Phil and I solemnly vow that The Speculist will remain 100% the product of humans... until the Singularity.

After that, the site will improve exponentially.

UPDATE: I've been reminded that The Speculist has already published some nonhuman content. Here's Phil's interview with Ray Kurzweil's chatbot Ramona. But reading that interview proves my point. Bots aren't ready for primetime blogging just yet.

June 11, 2008


Now This Is What a Long Comment Thread Should Be

Since I spoke ill of long comment threads on the podcast the other night -- bemoaning their tendency to slide off into repetition and somebody being called a Nazi -- I must recommend this post over at Marginal Revolution, where Tyler's readers show how to do a long thread right. (Okay, some of them are getting a little testy towards the end, but you get to read plenty of great stuff along the way.)

It's a really fun topic, too: how to survive if suddenly transported back in time to Europe of 1000 years ago. Not to be a pessimist or anything, but I think those who predict that one would be dead in a matter of days or weeks are probably on the right track. My advice would be learn how to cross yourself properly. Even if your smattering of high school French / German / Latin gets you nowhere, and you aren't able to persuade anyone that you're a foreigner or a displaced noble, and nobody wants to watch as you charade your way through building a steam engine or introducing effective sanitation techniques, outward signs of piety might help you avoid being immediately hanged, burned, or drowned as a witch.

From there, having avoided being killed right off the bat, I tend to agree with those who argue that your best bet is to hook up either with the nobility or the Church. Get hip with the language as quickly as possible, and basically make your living as a source of entertainment. Just start telling the tales of the Fabulous Kingdom in the East from which you came. Maybe make yourself out to be Prestor John's nephew or bastard son -- although this might be a little early for PJ. (Say, maybe that's where the stories originally came from: a time traveler from a 1000 years ahead describes his homeland and it is misunderstood to be a magical kingdom in the east.)

prestor.jpg

The question originated with a marketing professor. I'm no professor, merely a a practitioner, but I tend to think that once non-demon, non-witch, non-heretic cred is established, the quickest way forward is shameless self promotion. Everybody is going to want a piece of the Amazing Visitor from the East. And you've got lots of great stories to tell them -- US history rewritten as medieval pageant, appropriately altered versions of the Sopranos or Lost or Battlestar Galactica, tales of the Bat Man -- you don't have to worry about copyright infringement! You can "invent" King Arthur or Robin Hood.

I say start with that stuff, then move on to sanitation, mathematics, assembly line production, distilled spirits, etc. There is quite a bit of talk over there about introducing advanced financial institutions or using a better understanding of probability than the locals have to make a fortune from gambling. I wouldn't recommend trying either of those (the latter on ethical as well as practical grounds) unless you do it through a patron who has plenty of troops.

May 29, 2008


Day Job Encroaches

Since Stephen has seen fit to put a picture with a big Brand X logo on the blog for which I shell out monthly hosting fees using money earned in the employ a far superior company, I think it only appropriate that we listen in on some exciting developments from the The Data Warehouse Institute, a couple of weeks ago in Chicago.

I'll warn you ahead of time -- since this interview was not with Claudia Imhoff, it does not end with my standard "rock on!" tagline. Nor do I tell anyone to live to see it.

But if you're reading this, hey, live to see it. I mean that.


TDWI Podcast.

April 30, 2008


It's Hard to Believe...

...that it's only been 15 years.

On this date in 1993, Cern made the Worldwide Web public domain and the rest, as they say, is history. Cern had actually developed the technology in the late 80's.

I remember living in a pre-Web world. I used a Mac with a dial-up Internet connection. The service was called Delphi. I used it mostly for chatting, playing games, and accessing files. Gee, that sounds just like the Web! So what was the difference?

It was all 100% text-based.

Wow, what a difference Cern made in pushing the Web out free. I was an avid HyperCard scripter back in those days, and I knew that eventually the Internet would go in a hypertext direction.

And then this thing showed up:

Mosaic.jpg


Nothing was ever the same after that!

April 26, 2008


Check Out FutureBlogger

This is a neat site that I've been meaning to recommend -- lots of futuristic goodness from a number of interesting sources. I particularly enjoyed the recent entry on developing a future bias.

March 6, 2008


VLB

Very Light Blogging the next few days. I'm in the process of moving.

Meanwhile, Stephen is making his way through that warehouse from the end of Raiders of the Lost Ark looking for our Feb 17 FastForward Radio show.

UPDATE FROM STEPHEN: Yes, Phil has a "top man" working on it.

"It's gotta be here somewhere..."


October 9, 2007


What About All Those Interviews?

There have been some inquiries about the interviews I did at the Singularity Summit last month -- specifically, why has only one been posted to date? Unfortunately, right after getting back from San Francisco, I started having hard drive issues and was only able to resolve the problem to my staisfaction a couple of weeks ago. I've been on the road since the third week in September and won't be home for another week and half -- and I don't have the computer I do my video and audio editing on with me.

So please stay tuned. The interviews are coming, and they will be just as interesting six weeks or two months out from the conference as they were the day they were recorded. That's my personal guarantee.

September 18, 2007


Over on L2si

A Ted Talks video from linguist Steven Pinker explaining that the world is becoming less violent.

August 5, 2007


Vegas, Baby ('07)

Normally this is where I would warn that blogging will be light for the next week as I will be out of town and completely booked with my company's annual user conference. However, at the rate Stephen has been blogging, I'm not even sure I'll be missed! Plus, I believe Ben has got something in the works for us, too.

See you all next week!

July 30, 2007


Otherwise Occupied

Blogging will be light (from me) today as I am off to Greeley Colorado for the Specudaughter's college orientation. I am remiss in not mentioning that she recently graduated high school with a perfect 4.0 GPA and we just got word that she did very well on her International Baccalaureate finals. She 's currently planning on studying English (same major as the old man) with an eye to teaching high school or junior high.

Additionally, we expect that she will carry on with her martial arts studies.

June 2, 2007


Cost of Free Ice Cream to Increase

We're upping the number of ads on the site in June as an experiment. From now on, all the category pages and the individual entries will include ad bars.

I sincerely hope this won't negatively impact your enjoyment of the site in any appreciable way. Whether the new ad bars stay will be determined by that fact and by whether they impact our enjoyment of the site in an appreciable way.

Stay tuned.

sundae.jpg

Still a bargain at three times the price!

June 1, 2007


Why So Many Blogs Are So Tiresome

If you find the blogosphere's obsession with politics to be as pointless as I do, don't miss Michael Anissimov's new entry at Accelerating Future: Why Utilitarians Should Focus on Technology. Michael writes:

Our minds are programmed to overfocus on politics, and underfocus on technology. The reason why is that our ancestors evolved in an environment where the political scene was constantly changing while technology stayed roughly static. Today, both areas change rapidly, but technology has a greater impact.

So those of us who blog about technology are doing the public a service by trying to get them to focus on the greater-impact area.

I caught a little of the Dennis Prager show while out driving yesterday; the guest was the author of an exhaustive historical account of the JFK assassination intended to provide a thorough debunking of all the conspiracy theories associated with that event. In one segment, Prager talked a little about why conspiracy theories are so attractive. Among the reasons he cited were their tendency to reinforce our prejudices as well as to provide a more emotionally satisfying explanation for events than the mundane facts.

Closely related to that second reason, I think people get caught up in conspiracy theories as a form of entertainment. And although I believe there is a difference in degree (and probably in kind), politics also provides a good deal of entertainment value. I mean, there can't be any doubt that TV shows like Hardball are primarily intended as entertainment. Rush Limbaugh and Bill Mahr make the point even more explicit.

I think a lot of people who read and write political blogs aren't all that different from Star Trek fans. They've found something that's really interesting and fun for them, and they go with it. The big difference, of course, is that political junkies know that they are dealing with matters that impact the real world, and believe that they're having some influence on real-world outcomes. (Most Star Trek fans aren't interested in that, although many will tell you how Trek is a force for good which has changed the world, etc.)

Most people who read and write about technology are more like Star trek fans than they are political junkies. They follow their subject primarily because it's entertaining and fun, without much consideration as to the greater societal impact. (Although some do think about this quite a bit.) But technology has a much greater impact than Star Trek, and -- as Michael demonstrates by naming two fairly obscure inventors who have had a tremendous impact on the world -- a much greater impact than politics, too.

For those of us who get bored with politics pretty easily, and who are inclined to try to steer the conversation in the direction of technology, this is pretty encouraging.

UPDATE:

Actually, as I read back over it, I would slightly disagree with Michael when he says that today both areas change rapidly. I think there's a lot of activity in the political sphere, but not nearly as much change as all the activity suggests. Political change (when it occurs) is reactive to what's happening in society, whereas technological change is one of the drivers of what's happening in society.

UPDATE 2 (from Stephen):

To some extent, this might be a matter of personal taste. What's tiresome to us might be very interesting to others. A good political rant from somebody who cares about the subject (and so has kept up), and who argues with intelligence is usually a fun and/or enlightening read.

And politics is important. The ideas by which we govern ourselves and conduct ourselves socially are a big part of who we are.

That said, I can't think of anything that will have a more profound impact in the coming years than accelerating technological development. So nothing is more important politically. The weird thing - and Michael was pointing this out - is how few in our political and academic classes (including our bloggers) get this.

Among political bloggers a big shining exception is Glenn Reynolds.

Already I think Glenn has benefitted from this. Those who don't understand the implications of accelerating development often find themselves themselves looking shortsighted by comparison to those who do.

Regardless of the subject-matter their blog covers - be it politics, religion, or pet cats - techno-saavy bloggers have an advantage over those who don't understand the implications of accelerating development. They're just less tiresome.

May 11, 2007


Still Editing My Conference Videos

Meanwhile, here's someone who has the right attitude for a Friday. If you can watch this without laughing, you must be having a really bad day.

May 3, 2007


Future of Libraries

I will be attending this conference Monday and Tuesday of next week:

For two days in May, three hundred librarians will meet with visionaries from the disciplines of anthropology, architecture, public policy and science to discuss the future of libraries. By looking outside of the library, we seek to explore unique ideas that will make the difference. Imagine merging information, inspiration and imagination to transform the way we look at our future. And then working together to build a solid foundation that will serve as a concrete plan with which to move forward.

The theme of the conference is an evocative one: Imagination to Transformation. Or if I may paraphrase: "live to see it."

Speakers at the conference include Ray Kurzweil, Mary Catherine Bateson, Bob Treadway, and others. Should be a fascinating couple of days.

Part of the program will also involve an exercise derived from our Seven Questions About the Future. Remember those? We had a lot of great responses back in the day.

I saw a good show on PBS last night about an a villa excavated some time ago in Herculaneum (Pompeii's upscale neighbor) where a library of more than 1800 ancient manuscripts was found, each one rolled up tight and toasted by Vesuvius. The efforts of scholars over the past couple hundred years to unroll (much less to read) these ancient books have been nothing short of heroic. There was initially hope that a lost tragedy of Sophocles or dialog of Plato might be found among these books; so far no such luck. But as modern chemistry makes it easier to unroll them, and new imaging technology makes it easier (and in many cases, possible) to read some part of them, we are learning quite a bit about the school of Epicurean philosophy to which they apparently belonged.

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One of the papyri from Herculaneum

When picturing the library of the future, it's hard not imagine some kind of Google interface connecting everything ever published to everything else ever published via logical, cognitive, and semantic linking schemes that we can hardly imagine now. But I think the tireless efforts to decipher these burnt manuscripts give us another hint as to the role that libraries will continue to play. Libraries aren't just collections of books -- they are a link with the past. When ancient books such as these are found, it's as though some piece of the past that was lost has been restored to us.

This is also why the destruction of a great library -- such as occurred in Alexandria at some point 1500-1800 years ago -- represents such a tremendous loss. It's as though some part of the past has been blotted out.

Libraries are the original databases and the original time machines. It will be very interesting spending a couple of days getting a handle on where libraries are going -- and how in the future they will be even more effective at showing us where we've been.

April 23, 2007


Twittervision

I'm not a twitterer... yet. Probably because my personal Internet bandwidth is used blogging right here. But this is fascinating:

“Twitterers†send and receive short messages, called “tweets,†on Twitter’s Web site, with instant messaging software, or with mobile phones. Unlike most text messages, tweets — usually in answer to Twitter’s prompt, “What are you doing?†— are routed among networks of friends. Strangers, called “followers,†can also choose to receive the tweets of people they find interesting...

David Troy, a software developer in Maryland, has created a Web site called Twittervision that superimposes this public timeline on a Google map. Every few seconds, a tweet appears and vanishes somewhere on the globe. It is an absorbing spectacle: a global vision of the human race’s quotidian thoughts and activities, or at least of that portion of the species who twitter.

I'd guess that this sort of microblogging will tend to have a much higher noise/signal ratio than regular blogging. But, like regular blogging, the best Twitterers will get the largest following.

Here's the link to Twittervision.

April 3, 2007


"Don't Be So Gullible"

Sound advice from reader WWP, who points out that yesterday's entry about Julianne Moore replacing Gillian Anderson as agent Scully in the upcoming X-Files movie was taken from a "news" story that was really an April Fool's joke.

I have so many conflicting feelings about this: relief that it isn't true; remorse for ever doubting Gillian Anderson in the first place; disillusionment about who you can trust in this world. I mean, it should have been reliable information, right? It was on a web site.

Well,at least I'm not alone in making that kind of mistake.

UPDATE:

Lest anyone get too smug snickering at my gullibility, let me just point out that blogging is hard work. Having to sort real stuff out from fake stuff doesn't make it any easier. In fact, it's so stressful that one of my favorite bloggers has decided just to give up altogether. How depressing is that?

What's that?

What do you mean, "check the date?"

It's a what?

Oh.

Never mind.

March 1, 2007


On Vacation

I'll be pretty much away from the blog for the next 8 days. But keep checking in, folks. I think there's a new FastForward Radio on its way.

gc.jpg

February 24, 2007


Teaching the Machine

We're all doing it, it seems:

I just hope we're teaching it to be nice...

February 19, 2007


RSS Subscribers: Please Update

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It's easier for us to keep track of that one. Thanks.

February 14, 2007


Thanks for Stopping By

We haven't done a traffic report lately, so I thought it was time for an update. January was our second biggest month ever at The Speculist, if you don't count the infamous traffic surge from the blonde joke. We had more than 42,000 unique visitors and more than 170,000 page views.

Continue reading "Thanks for Stopping By" »

February 5, 2007


Sledge Hammer Adventures

Over on L2si.

Plus, in case you missed it, a real, live sea monster!

UPDATE: See also the Eternal Embrace.

December 26, 2006


Happy Holidays

I'm on vacation the next few days and don't plan to be doing any blogging whatsoever. But I promise to check in before year's end.

December 23, 2006


Other People's Podcasts

Here's me in Clark Kent mode being interviewed by the B-Eye Network about one of the products that I'm responsible for in my day job. I don't know why their site calls me "David." They got it right in the headline, but not in the descriptive text.

If you're all about the growing complexity and performance requirements for enterprise software -- and who isn't? -- or if you lie awake at night wondering what's being done to make data integration a reality for today's enterprise, this should hit you right where you live.

December 21, 2006


Whither Codgerhood?

A lot of folks were upset by Joseph Rago's anti-blog rant in yesterday's WSJ because of his crack about blogs being "written by fools to be read by imbeciles." Ha. I wish. If I could get a few more imbeciles reading the Speculist, maybe I'd make some money off that Google ad bar up top. Or if we could even get a few somewhat credulous folks, not even imbeciles.

For people who aren't that bright, Speculist readers strike me as being remarkably hard-nosed and skeptical. Or maybe you're all just lazy. That would probably make more sense.

Anyhow, the passage that upset me was not the one about imbeciles, it was this:

Every conceivable belief is on the scene, but the collective prose, by and large, is homogeneous: A tone of careless informality prevails; posts oscillate between the uselessly brief and the uselessly logorrheic; complexity and complication are eschewed; the humor is cringe-making, with irony present only in its conspicuous absence; arguments are solipsistic; writers traffic more in pronouncement than persuasion . . .

"A tone of careless informality?" Dang, that is truly upsetting.

Or not.

Whatev.

But that crack about irony, that really hurts. It reminds me of a similar concern I expressed in a recent comment (third item) on one of Stephen's posts:

We were born into a world where there were a few people could say things like, "back in the blizzard of '03," and now WE say stuff like that. Or at least I do. See, here's another reason why Leon Kass is right -- if I opt for life extension, the world is going to be deprived a world-class old codger. In a world of eternal youth, whither codgerhood?

It's a pretty grim future we face, ladies and gentlemen. Not only we will be completely bereft of irony, there will be no more Joseph Rago's around to tell us what a bunch of imbeciles we all are. Sorry to land such a bummer on your holidays, but there it is.

December 12, 2006


New Glenn and Helen Show

Glenn and Helen answer questions from their listeners. Give it a listen. Some of those listeners are pretty darn smart!

November 9, 2006


Get Well, Peggy

I just learned that Peggy Sargent, the wife of Speculist blogger Michael Sargent ("El Jefe Grande") underwent heart surgery earlier this week. This is a follow-up to the heart surgery she underwent in July of this year. Michael reports that Peggy is now beginning the long recovery process, that she is getting some much-needed rest, and that she is "pretty upbeat, given the circumstances."

What can one say about Peggy Sargent? She's a lovely lady: quick-witted and possessed of an authoritative if not encyclopedic knowledge of Star Trek. She is also quite dangerous around a pool table.

I know I speak for everyone who writes for or reads The Speculist in wishing her a full and speedy recovery. Peggy, our thoughts, prayers, and best wishes are with you.

October 25, 2006


Aziz Says No

And apparently, he means it.

September 26, 2006


Emerging Technologies

Mike Treder is live-blogging the Emerging Technologies conference at MIT. Check it out.

September 22, 2006


Computer Update

Ah, installing hard drives, cloning disks, creating partitions...it all appears to have paid off. Our normal programming should resume shortly.

September 19, 2006


Posting Has Been Light...

...primarily due to computer problems. My Toshiba laptop has been in and out of the shop twice in the past couple of weeks. The problem was only partially diagnosed the first time as overheating from a dust clog. It took them about a week to "fix" it, I took it home, and then the hard drive died on me a couple of days later. I took it back to the shop and had a new drive installed, took it home again, and it still didn't work.

So I got confused. Maybe they had only given me a new hard drive, not installed it? I removed the hard drive from my computer and installed the one they gave me in a bag. I was able to format that one with an operating system and get it running -- when I got a warning it was about to die! So I figured that must be the old one, after all. So I pulled it out and put the other one back in, meaning to take it back to the shop the next day and have a firm talking-to with those guys. After reinstalling the drive, I switched the computer back on and -- poof! It seems to work just fine.

All I can figure is that they didn't install it quite correctly, which is a scary thought seeing as they're an authorized Toshiba service center, and I'm a guy who really shouldn't be opening things up in order to repair them. I mean, that almost never works out, and usually it's much simpler stuff than computers.

So now I'm working on restoring all my data to the new disk -- which is more challenging than it ought to be, but the good news is I have all the data and I'll get it on there sooner or later.

September 18, 2006


Speculist 1000

This is (sort of) our 1000th post. Let's be precise -- it's the entry that bears the number 1000 according to Movable Type's entry count. But MT likes to mess with our heads a little, so it also tells us that we are well short of 1000:

Continue reading "Speculist 1000" »

July 31, 2006


Somebody is Having a Birthday

Today is the Specuwife's birthday, as a matter of fact, so we'll be going out for dinner later. I already bought the flowers!

Plus, this week we're celebrating the third anniversary of the launch of the Speculist (which was on August 4, 2003.) Before the "official" launch, I was already posting away getting ready for the big day. Here's a trip down memory lane, the archives for July of 2003 -- the first ever posts to this blog.

More to come as we proceed through the week. Meanwhile, the first celebration is over on L2si, where the new edition of The L2si Report is up in honor of our blogiversary. Check it out!

UPDATE: Suraya reminded me that today is also Blacknail's birthday, but he never seems to stop by any more, so what's the point in mentioning it?

July 25, 2006


Don't Forget

...about or new blog, L2si. It's got it's own podcast...

Littlelogo.jpg

...and a push-prize that might just give both the X Prize and the M Prize a run for their money.

cigar.jpg

July 23, 2006


New Blog Premieres

Check out the newest addition to the Speculist media empire -- L2si, where we'll be featuring what we like to call "dispatches from a rapidly changing, rapidly improving world." If that phrase rings a bell, we're glad. For those who have enjoyed our Better All the Time feature over the past couple of years, it now has a new name and a dedicated blog.

Also coming soon...a new podcast, the L2si Report. So stay tuned.

UPDATE: The first edition of the L2si Report is now up and ready for playing / downloading,

July 9, 2006


Test Entry

I've just finished installing a new Version of Movable Type. Nothing seems to have exploded so far. Just tyring a new entry here to make sure nothing weird happens.

UPDATE: Okay, updating my templates definitely had some consequences. I will work on fixing this. Looks kind of clean, though, hmmm?

LATER UPDATE: Sifting through it. We appear to be getting closer.

MUCH LATER: Calling it a day. I'm sure I'll figure this thing out tomorrow.

July 3, 2006


Gone Fishing

Don't know what the others around here have planned for the long holiday weekend, but I've gone fishing and so have posted ahead a little. Wishing you all a safe and fun Independence Day.

June 19, 2006


More Good News

Today is the 14th wedding anniversary of El Jefe Grande and the lovely Peggy. Who knew? They must have gotten married when they were, like, 11.

June 8, 2006


PunditDrome RIP

Didn't Mad Max go looking to see what was beyong PunditDrome? Something like that...

Anyhow, Scott Ferguson has decided to pack it in. It's a darn shame. That was a neat site. I hope it comes back in some form, somewhere down the road.

Anyhow, Scott has been kind enough to provide a list of all the sites that he linked.

Goodbye, PunditDrome. We'll miss you!

June 7, 2006


It's a New Monkey Chow Guy, Day 5

This guy puts me and all my weight-loss efforts to shame:

Imagine going to the grocery store only once every 6 months. Imagine paying less than a dollar per meal. Imagine never washing dishes, chopping vegetables or setting the table ever again. It sounds pretty good, doesn't it?

But can a human subsist on a constant diet of pelletized, nutritionally complete food like puppies and monkeys do? For the good of human kind, I'm about to find out. On June 3, 2006, I began my week of eating nothing but monkey chow: "a complete and balanced diet for the nutrition of primates, including the great apes."

Caution: The line drawing of a monkey on the Monkey Chow Diaries page is making an obscene gesture. (That may be the strangest sentence I have ever typed.)

Via Memepool once again, where I need to stop spending so much time, I think.

June 1, 2006


Pura Vida

I said I would try to publish some of my Costa Rican pictures, but I haven't gotten around to uploading any of them yet. However, I did scan in this one picture that our friend Jorge gave us of a charming waterfall that we saw on our first day. A waterfall doesn't have to be big to be beautiful or impressive.

wfall1.jpg

Continue reading "Pura Vida" »

May 30, 2006


Comments Back Up

Comments are working again. Thanks for the head's up, Kathy.

UPDATE: Wait, is it "head's up" or "heads up?" Or maybe "headsup?" Anyway, it's an important phrase -- if you're writing a poem and you need a word to rhyme with "catsup," it's about as close as you're going to get.

May 29, 2006


Memorial Day

To those who defend our freedom -- thank you for your courage and your sacrifice.

To those who have made the ultimate sacrifice in the defense of our freedom -- we have not forgotten. We will not forget. Thank you.

May 28, 2006


He's Back

Suraya and I spent the past week in Costa Rica. We saw some neat things:

Neat thing 1

Neat thing 2

Neat thing 3

Neat thing 4

Maybe I'll put some of my own photos up eventually. But you'll get the general idea just following the links to other people's photos. Which clearly saves me some work.

Anyhow, it's an amazing place. We had a wonderful time. Hope to get back there again soon.

February 2, 2006


The Signal, Part 2

Regarding our proposal to thwart Google's censorship of China, myric from Asiapundit writes:

Gosh, it's nice to know that if I need do search for information I can always e-mail a US-based blogger and wait, probably hours or days, for the results. Thanks for the thought - but I think it will be faster if those of us in China just use a proxy (like we already do).

If you are serious about supporting Internet access in China set up a server for TOR or JAP.

We didn't know (Stephen confessed his technical ignorance in the last post), but we suspected that savvy surfers in China had already figured out ways around the barrier. Myrick seems to have taken offense at our offer. We meant no disrespect.

Part of what we are doing is pointing out the fact that Chinese surfers have to route around a barrier. We're also exposing the things that Google is censoring. Things like the Tiananmen Square massacre of 1989 (more here, here, and here)

Obviously, proxies and other workaraounds are the immediate fix for getting access to whatever has been blocked. We certainly support efforts to put such workarounds in place. The only problem with proxy searches is that they are, to some extent, complicit with the system. A proxy search immediately returns the results you're looking for, but it doesn't hold Google accountable for blocking your search in the first place.

The method we've described would, initially, involve a considerable lag time in producing results. There's no question about that. Submitting a query at that stage would probably have as much to do with documenting a blocked search as it would with getting the results (which can still be achieved via a proxy search.) Think of it as a bug report.

As more and more bloggers participated and the FAQ grew, this lag time would be cut considerably. Utlimately, the database of blocked search results could be accessed almost as quickly as a proxy. But even if it was never competitive with a proxy search from the standpoint of speed, we believe there is considerable value in collecting and publishing everything that has been blocked.

We appreciate the offers to help that we've already received from other bloggers - particularly the one who knows Chinese and has contacts in China.

Lastly, we hope to express through this program solidarity with the people of China.

No people on Earth yearn to be oppressed, or aspire to servitude, or eagerly await the midnight knock of the secret police.

January 20, 2006


Comments Back Up

Thanks for your patience, folks. Feel free to resume commenting any time you like!


Comments Down

Comments are not working; I'm looking into what the problem is. Will let you all know when they're back up.

UPDATE: My hosting service confirms that they have disabled comments in defense against a spam attack. I'm making some configuration settings that will solve the problem, but I'm waiting until I get the *exact* procedure from Movable Type. Anyone who remembers the painful transition from Speculist.com to blog.Speculist.com will understand why.


A Speculist Milestone

Wow, check out these traffic numbers.

jantraff.jpg

For the first time ever, we have broken the 50,000 mark for unique visitors in a month...and the month is only two-thirds over.

Thanks for dropping by, everybody!

January 16, 2006


Ready to Be Courted

Will blogs lose their credibility if they get overly entangled with mainstream media and political money folks? Possibly. But what I'm trying to work out, here, is how I can get some kind of "courting" angle to score me a free pass to the AFC Championship next Sunday.

Come to think of it, sending me would be the perfect solution. The Speculist is neither a political blog nor a sports blog. There could be no possible suggestion of undue bias or influence peddling. Plus, since Invesco Field at Mile High is just a short light rail ride from where I live, no one even needs to worry about how my "expenses" are being covered. I can handle the light rail fare, and I can't eat any nachos, anyway. All I need is that all-important ticket.

So please, anyone reading this who represents big media or big blogging or, you know, anybody who cares about the future of the blogosphere -- not to mention, I daresay, the future of humanity -- won't you act now?

Thank you.

UPDATE: I just remembered. I have my daughter this coming weekend. So it's actually going to take two passes to the game to save the blogosphere. But that's still a heckuva bargain!

January 11, 2006


Say Hello to Felix

My good friend Chris Twyman and some of his colleagues have just launched a blog dedicated to the subject of Strategic Marketing. Be sure to stop by and wish them well.

Also, can anybody help me out with this entry? I have no idea who they're talking about.

January 4, 2006


Rose Bowl Final

Texas 41, USC 38. Vince young clinched it with a cakewalk 4th down touchdown leaving 19 seconds on the clock and USC unable to organize an effective response. The Trojans' amazing winning streak, which started in 2003, comes to an end.


(I know, we don't really cover this stuff here. But we've been a little one-note the past couple of days and I just wanted to mix things up.)

December 29, 2005


He looks like a blogger to me...

Congrats from everyone at the Speculist to Stephen and Melissa Green on the birth of their son, Preston Davis. Be sure to drop by VodkaPundit with your well-wishes.

December 16, 2005


Holiday Reading

Just started this book:

Intriguing premise. I'll provide a full report when I've finished. Here are some more good holiday reading options:

December 14, 2005


Sounds Interesting

Now here's a blog that really caught my attention. The name of the blog, Science and Politics, is pretty straightforward. But what I like is the subtitle:

Red-State Serbian Jewish atheist liberal PhD student with Thesis-writing block and severe blogorrhea trying to understand US politics by making strange connections between science, religion, brain, language and sex.

Yeah, that's what I hate about the blogosphere. It's always the same stuff over and over.

November 26, 2005


Thought for the Day

Ran acros this nugget while doing some long-weekend reading:

The great obstacle to discovering the shape of the earth, the continents, and the oceans was not ignorance but the illusion of knowledge.

Interesting. Makes you wonder what we think we know today that we really don't...

Read the whole thing:

November 24, 2005


A Stumper

In keeping with the day, I thought I would do a little piece on what a Speculist has to be thankful for. I came up with a nice list of things that are not particularly Speculist-oriented, things like...

family

friends

health

a job

freedom

...and so on, but those apply across the board to everyone who has them. What does a Speculist, in particular, have to be thankful for?

?

I've wracked my brain, but other than the fact that I'm alive to witness the single most exciting epoch in human history, I can't think of a darn thing.

November 1, 2005


Keep It Simple

Research backs up the Speculist approach (really, pretty much the entire blogosphere approach):

Many fledgling writers have been taught the mnemonic KISS: Keep it simple, stupid. A new study backs the wisdom of that advice.

Long words used needlessly along with complicated font styles -- two tactics employed routinely by students trying to pad their work -- are perceived as coming from less intelligent writers.

Mark Twain once wrote in a letter to his sister: "I didn't have time to write a short letter, so I wrote a long one instead."

It's the same basic idea. Adding complexity to a message doesn't necessarily enhance the complexity of the idea presented. And even when it does, it doesn't necessarily enhance that complexity in a meaningful way. So the value of communication goes up when we convey more information using fewer words and/or syllables.

The obvious exception would be Steven Den Beste, but even he seems to have traded it in for a more concise format.

Of course, the end game is to be able to say it all with a simple "heh" or a well-placed "indeed." We aren't quite there yet.

October 24, 2005


Not for Sale, Though

This is pretty cool...


My blog is worth $84,681.00.
How much is your blog worth?

Especially when I ran the same script to discover that Andrew Sullivan is worth about $2,000,000 and The Big Guy himself is worth around $4,000,000.

To think that the humble little Speculist might be valued at 2% of the value of InstaPundit...it must be some kind of bubble.

Here's an explanation of the rationale, via GeekPress (who is currently valued about the same as us.)

October 17, 2005


RSS Feed Fixed

For some time, we've been getting complaints that our RSS feed doesn't work. This was due to a typo in the site's main template page. I think I have corrected the problem. For those interested in subscribing to The Speculist, the address is:

http://www.blog.speculist.com/index.xml

August 10, 2005


And Baby Makes Six!

Congratulations and best wishes to Stephen and Sheralyn Gordon on the birth of their fourth child, a healthy baby boy.

Name and other details TBA at a later time.

Mom and son are doing fine. A very happy birthday to the newest member of the Gordon family!


UPDATE FROM STEPHEN:

Thanks for all the well-wishes! We are all home and Mom and baby are doing great. We've named the little guy "Andrew Gideon Gordon."

andrewgideon.JPG

April 11, 2005


Speech Update

On Saturday I took third place in the district competition with the same speech with which I won the area competition last month.

That was a lot of fun. And now it's time to write some new speeches.

March 8, 2005


Speech Update

This evening I won first place in the Area Competition with the same speech with which I won Local two weeks ago.

On to District...

March 2, 2005


Stillness Backgrounder

Here are the answers to a few questions you might have about Stillness.

What is Stillness about?

Stillness is about the end of the world. Or, as one of the characters explains it, not really the end of the world. Something much bigger than that...

Where does it take place?

The action moves around quite a bit: from the US to Russia to Italy to Southeast Asia; from corporate offices to a criminal hideout to a monastery to a strip joint, from commonplace locales to some very remote places, indeed.

Who are the characters?

We've got your ex-CIA agent, your super-genius kids, your corporate drone loser who is a mere cog in machinery he can't hope to understand, your cocktail waitress, your antiques dealer who doubles as the head of a secret society that may hold the key to saving the universe, your eccentric millionaire, your scientist, your writer dying of a mysterious disease, your creepy ex-Stalin Appartchik with a penchant for deadly games of chance, and so on.

Why publish it as a serial on your blog?

I'm having fun watching it unfold. And by not publishing it all at once, I get to keep adding stuff and changing the ending.

What are the readers saying?

I'm so glad you asked. Check it out.

Ooh, I got a little shiver...

A week is too long to have to wait!

Terribly engaging story. Congrats.

I've never had all that much patience for serial stories (as they were being released, anyway). But I look forward to each new chapter of Stillness.

Reminds me...of John LeCarre.

More? Please?

Holy smokes, it's John D. MacDonald, Stephen King, and Douglas Adams rolled into one!

One helluva story, but it really needs a copy editor! (Wait a minute, how did that one get in there? -- Phil)

Awesome. Just awesome. You rock, Phil.

No, you rock, readers. Thanks for making Stillness such a success. And for those of you who haven't yet joined the party, here's your big chance...

Continue reading "Stillness Backgrounder" »

February 18, 2005


Off-Topic: Dogblogging

Here are pictures of my dogs as playing cards that I made for a speech I gave last night. Aren't they cute?

 

February 3, 2005


Inner Ear Infection

In addition to the bronchitis. Nice combo.

February 2, 2005


Bronchitis

In addition to various other recent troubles, I have today been diagnosed with the above-named affliction. I'm not going to get this week's Stillness in shape for publication on time today.

Sorry.

January 28, 2005


Welcome to Earth!

Sorry I'm late on this.

Lydia Violet Warren, daughter of M104 member and copyeditor extraordinaire Virginia Warren was born at 7:04 AM Tuesday, January 25th, 2005.

Reports are that Lydia Violet is "healthy and beautiful." See for yourselves.

And what a great name.

Also, don't miss out on Virginia's step-by-step recounting of the process.

Mega-congrats to Virginia and Bill. And welcome baby Lydia!

December 26, 2004


We're Okay

When we saw the news this morning about the earthquake in Sumatra — just across the Straits of Malacca from where we are — I commented that Malaysia should be safe from the threat of tsunami because the earthquake was on the far side of the island of Sumatra. Obviously, I was wrong.

As the death tolls continue to rise throughout the night, it's clear that the greatest devastation has occured in India and Sri Lanka, although it is chilling to see the see images of destruction from Penang and Langkawi in Malaysia and Phuket and Kerabi in Thailand, all of which we have visited. The southern end of Peninsular Malaysia appears to have avoided the the destructive tsunamis. In any case, Kuala Lumnpur is sufficiently inland that we would not have been in danger anyway.

Thanks to those who have expressed concern. Please keep the people of Southeast Asia who have suffered this catastrophe in your thoughts and prayers.

December 25, 2004


Stillness Part VI, Chapter 57

Ksenia stood at the top of a snowy hill, watching her son guide his sled along a well-worn path. The sled run began just behind the dacha, winding down through the garden and finally coming to a stop a little short of the low stone wall that divided the garden from the orchard. This was Ivor’s favorite course, and it was one of the few hilly stretches on the grounds that was sufficiently free of obstruction to meet his mother’s exacting standards. Even so, with each run she worried that he wouldn’t be able to stop and that he would collide with the orchard wall, although after dozens — if not hundreds — of runs, he had never even come close.

After the sled came to a gradual stop at the bottom of the hill, Ivor got up and began making his way back to the top, his sled in tow. The climb to the top of the hill took several minutes; the ride down lasted no more than thirty seconds. And yet Ivor would be perfectly happy to keep riding down and climbing back up all day. And Ksenia would be happy to watch him do so, at least until his teeth began to chatter and his normally warm brown complexion took on a bluish tint.

“Now there’s a fine Russian boy hard at play.”

Ksenia turned to see Sergei Banov standing behind her. One of Mr. Keyes’ oldest friends, Banov had also been a good friend to her over the years, as had his wife and daughter. Although it was never discussed openly, Ksenia knew that the self-described “retired intelligence man” had spent a good deal of time trying to discover what had become of Reuben Stone. And because it was never discussed, Ksenia deduced that the search was fruitless.

But she also knew that Sergei was not a man easily discouraged by long odds or an initial lack of success, as he had demonstrated two years earlier by finally tracking down the man who killed his son. Even Mr. Keyes thought that was impossible.

“Good morning, Sergei Petrovich,” said Ksenia.

Banov smiled broadly.

“Good morning, Ksenia Ivanova.”

“And good morning to you,” he continued, waving and calling out to Ivor.

The boy looked up from his trudging and solemnly returned the salute.

“Good morning, Uncle,” he said, only slightly raising his voice. At a young age, he had already observed how easily voices carried over the snow.

“See how he loves the snow,” Sergei said to Ksenia, indicating the boy’s steady trek back up the hill. “He is a true Russian, that one.”

Ksenia nodded.

“I was just thinking about that. His love of the cold he gets from his Russian mother. But his ability to withstand it he gets from his American father.”

Continue reading "Stillness Part VI, Chapter 57" »

December 20, 2004


VLB

Very Light Blogging, that is.

I know it's been light for the past couple of weeks as I wrapped up my year at work, but it's about to get a lot more so as the SpecuWife and I head off for three fun-filled weeks (or so) in her home town of Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.

I'm going to try to get on here every couple of days (if possible). I'll do my best to at least keep up with publishing the new chapters of Stillness.

If you need to reach me, write to me at bowermaster-at-gmail-dot-com.

Merry Christmas, all!

December 14, 2004


Precisely

Wish I'd said it.

November 23, 2004


Happy Thanksgiving

I won't be blogging over the next several days. Best wishes to all for a safe and happy Thanksgiving weekend.

November 19, 2004


Internet Time Travel

The Wayback Machine, a massive archive of the worldwide web, enables users to enter a data and go "back in time" to view web pages from the past. GeekPress reports that the Wayback Machine's output has recently been ruled admissable as evidence.

This should give us all pause about what we publish on the web. We can edit entries, we can remove files, but we can't change the past. And we can't count on time to cover our tracks. So anything we put up on the Web, we better be comfortable with. Forever.

November 11, 2004


Wasn't that a Mel Gibson/Tina Turner Movie?

Everybody go check out PunditDrome, a very cool new approach to blog aggregation. And, yes, it would have been cool even if creator Scott Ferguson hadn't decided to include The Speculist in his blog hit parade. But seeing as he did include us...well, let's just call it

Cool + Good Taste

A formula for success if ever we saw one. PunditDrome is still in an early stage of development. Scott has dubbed the current version Beta 1. In a recent chat, I asked him what drove him to create such a handy blug-surfing tool. His answer surprised me only a little:

Hmmm ... I created the site to help keep myself from getting fired. I can cruise the blogs without doing too many mouse clicks.

A worthy aim, indeed. PunditDrome makes good use of RSS feeds to provide a sort of dashboard view into the blogosphere, giving an at-a-glance summary of the latest entries on 51 diverse blogs. One of the neat things about this view is that it retains some elements of the look and feel of each blog. Scott comments on his unique view of the blogosphere:

I think it's really interesting to see how an issue sweeps across the blogs, it's like watching clouds roll across the sky.

Nice image, that. So if you'd like to get a slightly different take on the blogosphere than anything you've seen before, that name again is

November 7, 2004


Blogger Bash Highlights

In no particular order.

1. Stephen Green is no better at darts than I am.

2. A spirited debate took place as to whether Tom Hanks would be a viable presidential candidate. Definitions of both "lefty" and "moonbat" were revisited. The pro-Hanks side argued from the actor's record that he is strong on defense (Saving Private Ryan, Band of Brothers) and that he would revitalize the space program (Apollo 13, From the Earth to the Moon.) Also, he would likely be unbeatable among women voters (Sleepless in Seattle, You've Got Mail.)

3. Songs were sung. I seem to recall this one number from Grease where I was covering both the girls' and boys' parts. Wow. You want to talk about versatile.

4. The prominent blogger who was shamelessly hitting on another blogger's wife only did so because he thought her husband wasn't there. (Granted, a better defense would include the phrase "only because he thought she wasn't married," but I'm trying to provide an accurate account of what transpired.)

5. I introduced Stephen and Sheralyn Gordon to everyone as the couple who drove all the way from Shreveport, Louisiana just to meet you.

6. Zombyboy no longer owes me a drink. Thanks, buddy.

7. Jeralyn Merritt is looking to unload some furniture.

8. Suraya, as always, proved instrumental in finding the bloggers (they were esepcially balkanized at this event) and in getting the conversation going.

9. More songs were sung. Especially moving was the Love Boat theme. Welcome aboard, folks. It's love. Sheralyn Gordon observed that when they got to Gilligan's Island, she was leaving. Luckily it never came to that.

10. I learned that through some inexcusable oversite, T. L. James' excellent Mars Blog was not in the Speculist blogroll. This has been rectified.

11. Matt Moore really needs to start blogging again.

12. A spirited debate took place as to whether Jeff Goldstein is "repulsive." Jeff argued passionately on both sides. The issue remains unresolved.

13. I read on one of my favorite blogs that had this event been on Friday rather than Saturday, Rand Simberg would have been here. I also seem to recall that Chris Hall once threatened to ride his motorcycle out here for one of the Rocky Mountain bashes. And Stephen, as I have mentioned, certainly did his part in coming here. Maybe next time we ought to have a full-blown spaceblogger convention.

14. Where was Dave Cullen?

15. When's the next one?

16. Something like this, maybe:


Update: Marsblog and Resurrectionsong have lots more. Zomby confirms that the singing was excellent, so pay no attention to T. L.'s comments about "beerphones."

November 5, 2004


A Toast

sapphire martini.gif.jpg

Phil and Stephen's friendship has flourished in the blogosphere. Would you have guessed that they've never met each other face to face?

That's changing today--Stephen and his family made the trip from Shreveport, Louisiana to Denver where Phil lives.

I've never met Stephen face to face, but I have faith that someday I will.

In the meantime, here's a toast to all of the Speculists:

May this meeting between Phil and Stephen strenghten our bond, clarify our sense of purpose, and challenge us to accept our calling.

Clink..

The Bombay Sapphire Martini's for Phil.


November 4, 2004


Rocky Mountain Bloggers

Day.

After.

Tomorrow.

Speaking of which, I think the Speculist may win the prize this time around for the blogger logging the most miles to attend the bash.


November 3, 2004


Bye Week

My unexpectedly busy schedule isn't going to permit me to post the new chapter of Stillness today, and I'm a stickler for keeping the new chapters on Wendesday...so see you next week.

Meanwhile, here's a blast from the past. Enjoy. (And if it's not enough for you, here are 50 more blasts.)

 

Part I

Chapter Three


A clear November afternoon in Moscow was a rarity. To have one fall on a Saturday struck Reuben as a lucky break, one that he doubted would last. Clouds were gathering and the brisk wind, which had begun as the faintest breeze, was gaining momentum as the day progressed. He set out from the Mezh and crossed the Moskva river on foot, making his way to the Hotel Ukraina.

Reuben liked the Ukraina. It was a product of the Stalin era: massive and powerful. It looked like a cross between the Empire state building and a medieval castle, much more interesting than the glass-and steel Mezh.

It was a short walk, not ten minutes from one hotel lobby to the other. He found the main lobby and, glancing at his watch, took a seat in a red leather armchair. He was five minutes early.

The place was almost empty; he noted that it was bigger, better lighted, and much cleaner than the lobby of the Mezh. He wondered what the guest rooms looked like � maybe it was time for a change of scenery. He could think of only one thing he would miss at the Mezh.

And there she was.

Continue reading "Bye Week" »

October 12, 2004


Rounding up the Roundups

Don't miss the current Rocky Mountain Blogger Round-up or this week's Carnival of the Capitalists. Good stuff!

September 22, 2004


Heads Up

Our favorite blogging deity is going through tough times and could use some help. Why not throw a little love her way? You'll be glad you did.

September 13, 2004


Welcome (Back) to The Speculist

[NOTE: I'm leaving this message at the top for the next week or so. There is new stuff below!]

We're back.

Myriad porn spams and a corrupt Bekeley database couldn't keep this site down for long. We are back in action. We'll be migrating material from the old site to this new location over the next few months. So if you're not finding what you're looking for here, try here.

Commenting now requires TypePad registration. Chek it out. It's free! Registering will enable you to write comments for many blogs, not just The Speculist.

Oh, and um...live to see it!

PS: Don't forget to update your bookmarks and blogrolls. That new address is:

http://www.blog.speculist.com

August 16, 2004


Comments Disabled...NOT!

See above. Comments are alive and well via TypePad registration.

August 14, 2004


I'm back

Spent Sunday afternoon through last night on the road (business) and found not one spare minute in all that time for blogging. It was pretty intense. Denver to Chicago to Toronto to New York to DC and then back to Denver. An all-day training session in every city (two in DC). Every flight was delayed. Plus I somehow had to do my regular job in spite of the fact that I was delivering training. Moroever, each city offered a unique opportunity to check in on projects that I normally have access to only over the phone. So I couldn't pass that up.

It was quite a week.

Anyhow, I'm back now and will resume blogging (I know I'm way behind on publishing chapters of Stillness, plus we need to get a new Better All the Time going) but first I need to clean out 458 porn spam messages.

Nothing says "welcome home" quite like those.

November 4, 2003


Who is this "Michael" Guy?

Michael S(ean) Sargent is a sanguinary second-generation native of the Front Range, writer, scholar, and technologist.

Born in 1969 during a brief parental sojourn in Utah’s Salt Lake Valley, he was raised in his parents’ home town Cheyenne, Wyoming, an influence that would significantly color his perception of the past, the future, and the role of the individual in getting from one to the other.

Michael’s interest in technology and gadgetry finds its inspiration in early influences. Born almost exactly one month before the first moon landing (the closing act of the "Golden Age" of government space exploration) and graduating High School just over a year after the Challenger disaster (the closing act of the "Silver Age"), growing up in the center of the most powerful nuclear missile field on the planet, and widely exposed (by choice and preference) to an array of "space opera" in all media (Did anybody else rush home evenings to catch the radio dramatization of "Star Wars" on public radio?) as well as "Popular Science", "Popular Mechanics", and "Scientific American" on the nightstand and "Cosmos", "Connections", and others on television (Broadcast 'public' television, as often as not. Cable television, all 14 channels of it, was a late influence, arriving during Jr. High).

This interest in technology, mostly from the "What can it do?" angle, rather than "How does it do that?", also showed in a succession of favorite "toys" and passtimes including a Tandy "Science Fair 75-In-One Electronic Projects Kit", a Commodore Vic-20, and taking a FORTRAN class sophomore year in High School. All of which culminated one fateful day in January of 1987, when an Army National Guard recruiter visited Michael's JROTC unit and asked: "Does anyone here like to work with computers?"

Michael raised his hand and, lacking any specific plans regarding college (what to take or how to pay for it), was sworn into government service in the Inactive Guard and Reserve the next month. Basic Training at Ft. Knox, Kentucky and Advanced Individual Training (AIT) at Ft. Benjamin Harrison, Indiana consumed the remainder of that year and resulted in the awarding of Military Operations Specialty 74D10 (Computer Machine Operator) to (now-) PFC Sargent, fully equipped to enter the exciting world of mainframe operations, trained in IBM Job Control Language (JCL), Hollerith code interpretation, punched-card restoration, and other cutting-edge skills on a state-of-the-art 1965 IBM 360. Unfortunately, the system back at the home unit was a state-er-of-the-art Burroughs 1900 (design c. 1976), but adjustments were made and the Guard became Michael's primary source of income while attending Laramie County Community College through his graduation (A.A. History) in 1990.

Summers during this period were spent indulging a theatrical hobby acquired in High School and learning the direct impacts of late Industrial Age technology at first hand working as a summer maintenance helper at the local oil refinery. (This factoid will become significant later.)

Further academic advancement would mean moving out of Cheyenne and SP4 Sargent took the opportunity to transfer his Reserve commitment from the Army National Guard to Air Force ROTC when he enrolled in the University of Wyoming (Laramie, Wyo.) in the fall of 1990.

Two years later (1992), liftime aversion to Phys. Ed. and a native syncretic approach to the academic investigation of human endevours ("What do you mean 'focus on an area of study, it's called a major?") resulted in a Bachelor's Degree (Social Sciences), no officer's commission (and no service or monitary obligation), and the prospect of immediate unemployment in the face of his pending wedding to his High School sweetheart, Peggy Macke.

To cover some expenses he moved back to Cheyenne and took a short-lived job as a night-shift gas station cashier (yuck) while looking for opportunities to apply his newly-acquired academic credential. In early fall of 1992 the opportunity to totally ignore his academic background in return for excitement (read: danger), exotic new skills (read: climbing an 80' ladder in the middle of the night, in a snowstorm, dragging a steam hose to thaw out a control valve), flexible working hours (read: five days on, two days off, five on, two off, five on, three off, eight-hour shifts, rotating backward, so that no two weeks had the same pattern of days off or even light and dark hours of consciousness), and killer money (read: ... well, yeah, the money was better than could have been made at the entry level of his academic field) came in the form of full-time employment at Cheyenne's Frontier Oil Refinery. It was during this time that he developed his personal perspective on technological systems, realizing that (with the exception of certain specialized cases) it is largely unnecessary to know the exact inner workings of complex technology (most such processes are extremely predictable and reliable), the key to troubleshooting complex processes is in knowing the connections between the elements and the expected outputs at each step. Isolate the step that isn't producing its expected result or the broken connection between steps and correct or replace that element and the process as a whole is restored to working order. This model works for electronic systems, industrial plants, social networks, and a variety of other situations likely to be of interest.

After five and a half years of sleep disruption, schedules incompatable with the rest of the civilized world, and frustrated periodic attempts to make some kind of additional academic progress, Michael (with much spousal guidance, assistance, and motivation) determined that the only way to break away from the attractive pay and unattractive lifestyle imposed by the refinery was to leave the Cheyenne area entirely and, in the winter and spring of 1998 he and Peggy moved to Colorado Springs.

Since that time his experience with and fearless approach to a wide variety of cutting- and trailing-edge technologies landed him various positions in government military contracting. Steady pay, a stable schedule, and employer educational benefits (and a much-regretted blogging hiatus) have allowed him to recently complete an MS in Communications Management at Colorado State University's Denver Center while his wife also completed her MS (Organizational Performance and Development). [If you have an hour to kill and a sympathetic ear, ask them sometime about the marital impact of simultaneous enrollment in graduate programs meeting on alternate days 60 miles distant for two years while maintaining full-time jobs.]

The perspective Michael brings to the Speculist is born out of his roots in a small community with a relatively short history. Social networks on the Front Range tend to be smaller and flatter than they might be in other places. The number of relationships between one's self and certain socially- and historically- important figures is small. As examples, in his brief lifetime, Michael has personally met the all-around rodeo cowboy of 1906, multiple Governors, Soviet Cosmonaut Gherman Titov, and presidential candidate Gary Hart among others. All of this serves as justification to his personal belief that individuals, and the exchange of ideas among them, are the most fundamental influence on the direction and rate of technological and cultural change. Each individual has the capacity, and indeed the responsibility, to be aware of potential changes on the horizon, to evaluate them against personal preferences and values, and to exert their own influence on the process of either bringing these changes to pass or preventing others from doing so.

August 1, 2003


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