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November 8, 2008


Right Out of the Flintstones

It's the ultimate zero-emission ride. I give you...the busycle!

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But don't get too excited just yet:

Apart from the time factor, this bus won’t be able to move much without the presence of 15 people onboard or at least one of you should be a participant of the “Tour de France.”

Okay, so maybe not a practical transportation solution quite yet. But it looks like fun. And speaking of the TDF, wouldn't it be interesting to watch two (or more) of these racing? That would have to be a real team sport.

August 12, 2008


Save the Planet -- Eat Kangaroo!

Kangaroos, you see, produce a relatively low amount of methane gas compared with other animals. Research shows that Australia could lower its overall greenhouse gas emissions by 3% if Aussies were to decide to give up all beef and pork in favor of the Other Red Meat, kangaroo.

Countries that aren't blessed with a native kangaroo population are being encouraged to take other steps:

Fortunately for those of us living outside of Australia, other countries are embarking on similar projects to reduce methane by farming low-emissions animals. Examples include springbok in South Africa, red deer in the UK, and bison in the United States. With CO2 emissions from other industries showing no signs of slowing down, eating a red deer burger doesn’t sound so bad.

Compared to a kanga-burger, it sounds downright appetizing. Actually, eating bison is no hardship. As many of you probably know, it is as good as beef, if a little more robust in flavor.

Kangarooburger.jpgKangarooburger.jpg

What's that? A burger? Um...no thanks.

Still, that kangaroo idea might be a little over the top. If we really want to cut methane emissions from livestock,we need to eliminate farms altogether rather than changing what we raise there. The unappetizing-sounding solution is vat meat. It will provide us nutritionally enhanced meat that doesn't come at the price of animal suffering and that doesn't cause massive environmental damage.

And it will only taste like chicken when it really is chicken.

May 13, 2008


They Look Minty Fresh

Via GeekPress, Snopes says that striped icebergs are real.

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Wow, first finger moneys and now this. The world is truly an amazing place, isn't it?

April 24, 2008


Meat Factory Update

Last week we wrote about the coming age of in vitro meat. Here's a major step in that direction, People for the Ethical treatment of Animals (PETA) is offering a $1,000,000 push-prize for the development of vat meat:

PETA Offers $1 Million Reward to First to Make In Vitro Meat

Scientists around the world are researching or seeking the funds to research ways to produce meat in the laboratory—without killing any animals. In vitro meat production would use animal stem cells that would be placed in a medium to grow and reproduce. The result would mimic flesh and could be cooked and eaten. Some promising steps have been made toward this technology, but we're still several years away from having in vitro meat be available to the general public.

PETA is now stepping in and offering a $1 million reward to the first scientist to produce and bring to market in vitro meat.

Why is PETA supporting this new technology? More than 40 billion chickens, fish, pigs, and cows are killed every year for food in the United States in horrific ways. Chickens are drugged to grow so large they often become crippled, mother pigs are confined to metal cages so small they can't move, and fish are hacked apart while still conscious—all to feed America's meat addiction. In vitro meat would spare animals from this suffering. In addition, in vitro meat would dramatically reduce the devastating effects the meat industry has on the environment.

Via InstaPundit, here's a Popular Mechanics piece with more details on this emerging technology.

Whatever you might think about PETA (and I personally have never thought much), they are to be applauded for taking this step. All their accumulated shock messages, sanctimonious political posturing, and obnoxious, not to mention frequently dangerous, behavior over the years have probably had a net effect of making most people less sympathetic to the cause of animal rights (or at least animal well-being) than they would have been. But this is a positive step -- a financial incentive to bring about a new technology that can eliminate animal suffering and end a lot of environmental damage associated with livestock farming.

Continue reading "Meat Factory Update" »

February 7, 2008


Carbon Recycling

In a recent post Phil asked, "So are we better off strictly recycling, or with a mix of recycling for metals and plastic, while reclaiming energy from paper and other organic waste?"

There's an interesting parallel between recycling and "reclaiming energy." Recycling allows you to use the same raw materials over and over. Reclaiming energy allows us to use carbon over and over.

Fossil fuels release carbon that's been sequestered since the fossils they were made from were living. Ethanol releases carbon too, but it's the product of plants that sequester carbon while they grow (paper and organic waste sequestered carbon recently). Instead of a one-way release of carbon, we'd get to take advantage of a carbon cycle. This makes it closer to being carbon neutral.

But NPR reported today on a study that apparently shows that ethanol is worse for the climate than gasoline. Their reasoning: when we devote more of our corn crops to ethanol, world food production is shifted to places like Brazil where rain forests are slashed and burned for farm land. And burning of rain forest releases a lot of carbon.

This highlights the importance of using things other than food to make ethanol. Making cellulosic ethanol from biological waste (like corn stalks) or switch grass could be carbon neutral. Using land that's not being used for crops wouldn't be a problem. Algae for diesel and ethanol can be grown in the desert.

Unfortunately that's not the message that most people will take away from that study. "Ethanol is worse than gas." Well, no. Ethanol can be much better than gasoline for the environment. We just have to be careful about unintended consequences. Perhaps it's time to end corn ethanol subsidies.

February 5, 2008


Recycling and Alternatives

Per Bylund writes about the Swedish government's coercive recycling regulations:

...[E]verybody is recycling. But that is the result of government force, not a voluntary choice. The state's monopolist garbage-collection "service" no longer accepts garbage: they will only collect leftovers and other biodegradables. Any other kind of garbage that accidentally finds its way to your garbage bin can result in a nice little fine (it really isn't that little) and the whole neighborhood could face increased garbage collection rates (i.e., even larger increases than usual — they tend to increase annually or biannually anyway).

So what do you do with your waste? Most homes have a number of trash bins for different kinds of trash: batteries in one; biodegradables in one; wood in one; colored glass in one, other glass in another; aluminum in one, other metals in another; newspapers in one, hard paper in another, and paper that doesn't fit these two categories in a third; and plastic of all sorts in another collection of bins. The materials generally have to be cleaned before thrown away — milk cartons with milk in them cannot be recycled just as metal cans cannot have too much of the paper labels left.

The people of Sweden are thus forced to clean their trash before carefully separating different kinds of materials. This is the future, they say, and it is supposedly good for the environment.

What is interesting about this Soviet-style planned recycling is that it is officially profitable. It is supposed to be resource efficient, since recycling of the materials is less energy-consuming than, for instance, mining or the production of paper from wood. It is also economically profitable, since the government actually generates revenues from selling recycled materials and products made in the recycling process. The final recycling process costs less than is earned from selling the recycled products.

However, this is common government logic: it is "energy saving" simply because government does not count the time and energy used by nine million people cleaning and sorting their trash. Government authorities and researchers have reached the conclusion that the cost of (a) the water and electricity used for cleaning household trash, (b) transportation from trash collection centers, and (c) the final recycling process is actually less than would be necessary to produce these materials from scratch. Of course, they don't count the literally millions of times people drive to the recycling centers to empty their trash bins; neither do they count, for instance, energy and costs for the extra housing space required for a dozen extra trash bins in every home.

Not to get into the politics of whether the Swedish government should or should not enforce such a vigorous model of recycling, I wonder how reclaiming refuse for biofuel production might fit into such an environment? All the wood, paper, and organic waste which is currently going for recycling or trash disposal might be converted into energy instead. I'm not sure this would make things any easier, but I would venture to guess that (at least) folks wouldn't have to sort paper into different varieties or wash out their milk cartons before disposing of them.

There has been quite a bit of interest in cellulosic ethanol lately; I wonder how enthusiastically its widespread production from waste materials would be received by environmentalists? While you would no longer have paper ending up in landfills, you would have it being "used up" in the form of energy production. Whereas, with recycling, the paper will last a lot longer -- although certainly not forever.

So are we better off strictly recycling, or with a mix of recycling for metals and plastic, while reclaiming energy from paper and other organic waste?

September 21, 2007


But Does it Taste Like Chicken?

froglegs.jpegWhat do frogs and teflon have in common besides the frying pan? They're helping science get a jump on (as it were) resistant antibiotic strains.

Research scientists at the University of Michigan have identified antimicrobial peptides (AMPs) on the skin of frogs--but the AMPs that work so well on the skin's surface have a couple of nasty habits inside a host. They break down when exposed to enzymes, and they have a tendency to stick to and damage host cells.

Dr. Neil Marsh has found an ingenious solution to both problems--coating the AMPs with nonreactive fluorine coating --aka teflon.

According to the story at Discover.com, the "same technology that keeps your eggs (or frog legs) from sticking to the pan may someday be a key part of a new family of antibiotics." Marsh’s Teflon-tipped AMPs show promise--the story says they may even work a bit better than natural, untreated AMPs, at least against some bacteria.

March 21, 2007


Didn't See This One Coming

It appears that a Prius causes more environmental damage than a Hummer:

Building a Toyota Prius causes more environmental damage than a Hummer that is on the road for three times longer than a Prius. As already noted, the Prius is partly driven by a battery which contains nickel. The nickel is mined and smelted at a plant in Sudbury, Ontario. This plant has caused so much environmental damage to the surrounding environment that NASA has used the ‘dead zone’ around the plant to test moon rovers. The area around the plant is devoid of any life for miles.

Well, okay, sure, but driving a Prius feels like a good thing to do for the environment, and that's what really matters, right?

Via GeekPress.

September 2, 2006


Getting Together to Save the World

Thoughts over on L2si.

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July 27, 2006


Fire and Ice -- The Risk

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Fire from ice. Intriguing. What do we know about this strange strange substance that goes by the name methane clathrate? Wikipedia tells us:

Methane clathrate, also called methane hydrate or methane ice, is a form of water ice that contains a large amount of methane within its crystal structure (a clathrate hydrate). Originally thought to occur only in the outer regions of the solar system where temperatures are low and water ice is common, extremely large deposits of methane clathrate have been found under sediments on the ocean floors of Earth.

"Extremely large deposits?" So is that, like, good news or bad? Not surprisingly, it can be either, depending on who you ask. Let's talk about the bad news first. As shown in the picture, this ice can catch fire and burn or, like regular ice, it can simply warm up and melt. When methane clathrate burns, it's the methane that 's burning. From an environmental standpoint, burning the stuff is not so bad. Burning methane does release some CO2 (a greenhouse gas) into the atmosphere, but quite a bit less than any other fossil fuel. On the other hand, if you melt methane clathrate rather than burning it, you release methane gas itself into the atmosphere. Methane is also a greenhouse gas, but it's about 20 times as efficient as CO2 at heating up the atmosphere.

In other words, if you want global warming, methane will get you there a lot faster than CO2 emissions. (Not to disparage CO2 in this regard; it can be highly effective.

So, what happens if these "extremely large deposits" of methane clathrate frozen on the ocean floor begin to melt? There are two possible answers:

  1. Nothing.

  2. Potentially cataclysmic change in climate

The first scenario represents the normal course of things. Methane clathrate melts all the time, usually in small quantities that bubble up towards the ocean's surface. Before the bubbles can reach the surface, the methane is re-dissolved into the ocean where it benignly floats around until (presumably) it freezes back into clathrate.

The second scenario is obviously more dramatic; indirect evidence potentially supporting such a scenario has only recently been confirmed to occur.

Remarkable and unexpected support for this idea occurred when divers and scientists from UC Santa Barbara observed and videotaped a massive blowout of methane from the ocean floor. It happened in an area of gas and oil seepage coming out of small volcanoes in the ocean floor of the Santa Barbara channel -- called Shane Seep -- near an area known as the Coal Oil Point seep field. The blowout sounded like a freight train, according to the divers.

Aside from underwater measurements, a nearby meteorological station measured the methane "cloud" that emerged as being approximately 5,000 cubic feet, or equal to the volume of the entire first floor of a two-bedroom house. The research team also had a small plane in place, flown by the California Department of Conservation, shooting video of the event from the air.

[Marine Science Institute researcher Ira] Leifer explained that when this type of blowout event occurs, virtually all the gas from the seeps escapes into the atmosphere, unlike the emission of small bubbles from the ocean floor, which partially, or mostly, dissolve in the ocean water.

Large quantities of methane suddenly released into the atmosphere could have quite an impact on global climate. Granted, we would need to be talking about a much larger quantity of the gas than was observed in this particular blow-out, but there could be bigger blowouts or more of them could occur, or the methane might come from sources other than volcanic, leading us back to our fire-ice:

Over geologic time scales, global climate has cycled between warmer, interglacial periods and cooler, glacial periods. Many aspects of the forces underlying these dramatic changes remain unknown. Looking at past changes is highly relevant to understanding future climate changes, particularly given the large increase in atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere due to historically recent human activities such as burning fossil fuels.

One hypothesis, called the "Clathrate Gun" hypothesis, developed by James Kennett, professor of geological sciences at UCSB, proposes that past shifts from glacial to interglacial periods were caused by a massive decomposition of the marine methane hydrate deposits.

So if our planet is currently warmer than normal either because of human acitivty or because of where we happen to be in the climate cycle or through some unholy combination of those two factors, this would seem to be a particularly bad time for any massive decomposition of methane clathrate to occur. Unfortunately, the warmer the planet gets, the greater the risk may become.

Sounds pretty scary, potentially. It would seem that we're sitting on a time bomb. Or maybe there's another way of looking at it...

Part 2, Fire and Ice -- The Promise

June 26, 2006


A Headline, a Picture, and a Prediction

Here's the headline.

Here's the picture:

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(It goes with the headline.)

Here's the prediction.

Discuss.

June 14, 2006


How Big a Sacrifice Is It, Really?

Here's the deal:

Japanese consumers increasingly snubbing whale meat

TOKYO (AFP) - Japanese consumers are increasingly snubbing whale meat despite their government's campaign to overturn an international ban on commercial whaling, a Japanese environmentalist has said.

Japan has enraged its Western allies by hunting whales, using a loophole that allows a catch for research purposes, and hopes an International Whaling Commission meeting later this week will lift a whaling ban.

Good for the Japanese consumers. What, exactly, is it that the Japanese government is trying to protect here? There can't be that big a revenue stream associated with whale meat...compared to other industries, anyway. Is it a precious cultural heritage -- slaughtering whales? Let it go already.

Meanwhile, one of the estimated 13 rhinos living on Borneo just got photographed. Here's hoping the 13 find a way to turn into many more, and that the publicity surrounding the photo doesn't put that rhinoceros and his 12 companions in danger of being harvested for their horns -- another precious cultural heritage.

May 5, 2006


If Only We'd Signed Kyoto...

First it was global warming on Earth. Then came Mars. Now it appears that our reckless disregard for nature is spreading deeper into the solar system, with climate changes occuring on Jupiter:

New Storm on Jupiter Hints at Climate Change

Neptune and Uranus are next. And then? Once the Oort cloud starts to be affected, we can expect a huge influx of angry comets buzzing our planet if not smashing right into it. But let's at least be thankful that the wave of destruction we've started is heading in the right direction. Can you imagine the devastation if the sun itself were to start heating up? (We must take what comfort we can in the knowledge that some people are taking seriously the idea of keeping the solar system green.)

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Latest victim of human greed and hubris?

On a somehwat less rabidly sarcastic note, the discovery of the new storm system on Jupiter is quite exciting:

"Red Spot Jr." as it is being called, formed after three white oval-shaped storms—two of which were at least 90 years old—merged between 1998 and 2000.

A similar merger took place centuries ago and formed the bigger and legendary Great Red Spot, a storm twice as big as Earth and almost 300 years old.

I would take issue with that "almost." My understanding is that the original storm was first "spotted" (thanks, I'll be here all week) by the astronomer Cassini in the 17th century. A quick Wikipedia search confirms that I am at least not alone in that opinion. Cassini first observed the red spot somewhere around 1665, meaning that it is at least 340 years old. Probably quite a bit older, seeing as it's unlikely that he just happened upon it a day or two after it formed.

All of which is to say that these things don't come around every day; we're lucky to have the chance to watch this unfold.

Via GeekPress


Technorati:

April 14, 2006


The Global Warming Test

Paul Hsieh outlines some refreshingly clear thinking on global warming:

IMHO, one would need to prove the following 6 points before one could make a scientific case that we should implement major changes in our laws with respect to CO2 emissions:

1) That global warming was actually happening.

2) That it was the result of human activity (not just normal cyclical natural variations).

3) That the degree of human-caused global warming would cause significant harmful consequences.

4) That these consequences could be reversed by taking certain actions.

5) That any such proposed action (such as the Kyoto treaty) would actually be effective in preventing/reversing the harm.

6) That any such proposed action wouldn't cause worse harm than it prevented (i.e., that the "cure" wouldn't be worse than the "disease").

So have these criteria been met in a way sufficient to justify the kinds of massive action generally called for? Paul says maybe not.

January 26, 2006


The Energy Race

A couple of days ago China announced plans to complete its tokamak fusion reactor by April of this year. China will start experimenting with the reactor - designated HT-7 - this summer with the hope of hitting a magic breakeven point that has, to date, never been reached in fusion research anywhere. They hope to produce more power than is required to contain the reaction.

Tokamak is a Russian acronym meaning "toroidal chamber in magnetic coils." A tokamak reactor contains a giant donut-shaped magnet used to contain plasma within the reactor.

The United States has been betting on the success of a different tokamak project: the International Thermonuclear Experimental Reactor (ITER). The ITER has been in the design and planning phase so long (since 1985!) that China may have already leap-frogged the rest of the world with its cheaper reactor.

...Construction [on ITER] is expected to begin in 2008 and finish in 2016. ITER is designed to generate 500 MW (about 10 times the record held by JET) and will hopefully produce more energy than is required to keep the plasma heated and confined...

Which will mean little if China has already accomplished this with a reactor that cost 1/20th the price of the ITER.

Tokamak reactors are powered by deuterium harvested from seawater.

After nuclear fusion, the deuterium extracted from one liter of sea water will produce energy equivalent to 300 liters of gasoline.

This would be a practically inexhaustible supply of power, and China probably has the lead in deuterium fusion research at the moment. Maybe the U.S. will compete with a different form of fusion.

[Deuterium fusion critics] have noted that the neutrons released in the deuterium-tritium fusion would create secondary radiation within the metallic parts of the reactor chamber. This secondary radiation would create radiological waste disposal problem, and would also shorten the life of the components in the reactor through radiative metal fatigue...

If China gets their reactor working, it won't be easy to operate or maintain. Fortunately, there is the possibility of a cleaner, easier to manage fusion fuel.

[Twenty years ago fusion expert Gerald Kulcinski] and a group of scientists met at a retreat south of Madison, Wisconsin to discuss the problems with the deuterium-tritium fuel cycle for fusion. They talked over what the options are for a better fuel. Helium-3 is what they came up with.

In fact, helium-3 is the perfect fusion fuel. It can produce an incredible amount of power with absolutely no radioactivity. And a helium-3 fusion reactor won't have the same containment issues either.

Professor Kulcinski's lab is running the only helium-3 fusion reactor in the world. He has an annual research budget that is barely into six figures and allows him to have five graduate research assistants working on the project. Compared to what has been spent on other fusion projects around the world, the team's accomplishments are impressive. Helium-3 would not require a tokomak reactor like the multibillion-dollar one being developed for the international ITER project. Instead, his design uses an electrostatic field to contain the plasma instead of an electromagnetic field.

There's a catch. Unlike the deuterium, which can be obtained from the ocean probably forever, there are only a few hundred kilograms of helium-3 on Earth. You have to go to the Moon to find helium-3 in useful quantities.

In January of 1986 Professor Kulcinski and his group contacted the Lunar and Planetary Institute at the Johnson Space Center. The soil samples from the Apollo missions are stored there. Every sample from the Moon had helium-3 in it. It didn't matter if the sample was collected from right on the surface or from a core sample a meter deep...

Theoretical calculations of helium-3 abundances on the Moon suggest that it may have enough to supply current world energy demand for thousands of years. Even further out, the gas giant planets contain enough helium-3 to power human civilization for millions of years.

In the short run deuterium will be seen as the miracle fuel. We certainly have plenty of it right here at home. But it will wear out reactors and leave us with some nasty radioactive waste. Ultimately we will turn to helium-3 because it is abundant (if you look in the right places), safe, and manageable.


helium-3 moon map


This lunar map shows heavy deposits of helium-3 in red.

January 11, 2006


Making Ethanol Worth the Effort

Engineer Poet has pointed out on several occasions that ethanol is not really a useful fuel. It's produced at a net energy loss - more energy goes into making the stuff than we get out of it.

One MIT scientist has an idea that might make the fuel worthwhile anyway.

About three years ago, while working on an experiment for growing algae on the International Space Station, [Dr. Berzin] came up with the idea for using it to clean up power-plant exhaust.

If he could find the right strain of algae, he figured he could turn the nation's greenhouse-gas-belching power plants into clean-green generators with an attached algae farm next door.

After considerable trial and error, Berzin has demonstrated that the idea works.

Fed a generous helping of CO2-laden emissions, courtesy of the power plant's exhaust stack, the algae grow quickly even in the wan rays of a New England sun. The cleansed exhaust bubbles skyward, but with 40% less CO2 (a larger cut than the Kyoto treaty mandates) and another bonus: 86% less nitrous oxide.

The algae is harvested daily for biodiesel. The pulpy substance that remains can be refined further into ethanol. Ethanol harvested in this fashion might be just as inefficient as that from corn, but since it's part of a process that makes the air cleaner, reduces greenhouse gases, and produces biodiesel, maybe it's worth a second look.

November 7, 2005


Refreshing

Very interesting:

AUSTRALIANS could be drinking treated sewage within a decade thanks to "good" bacteria in clean water feasting on germs.

CSIRO researchers injected treated sewage into a Perth aquifer as part of a $3million trial of the water for domestic, agricultural and industry use.

The researchers found that natural bacteria in the aquifers "eat" dangerous germs and viruses.

Further tests will investigate whether the aquifers can be used as part of the water treatment process.

What a great story. It has familiar elements -- bacteria, sewage, the need for clean drinking water -- plus a surprise ending.

September 13, 2005


Ecological Twofer

I am convinced that the answer to global warming will be found in biology. Nothing that we can do outside of biology can benefit the environment as readily as biology itself. Imagine trying to come up with a mechanical solution for global warming. The space shield idea, for example, is a nonstarter. We will have to harness nature to work on its own behalf.

J. Craig Venter seems to agree. Venter, who is famous for racing the government to map the human genome, started a new company in June called Synthetic Genomics. As usual, Venter has big plans:

A host cell that has reduced and reoriented metabolic needs can generate biological energy applicable to a broad range of industrial fields including energy, industrial organic compounds, pharmaceuticals, CO2 sequestration, fine chemicals, and environmental remediation. "We are in an era of rapid advances in science and are beginning the transition from being able to not only read genetic code, but are now moving to the early stages of being able to write code," said Dr. Venter.

Instead of old style genetic engineering where sniplets of DNA were thrown at a genome hoping it sticks, Venter is working on a modular construction system for DNA. Advances in this field are moving forward very quickly. The first announcement that this level of genetic tinkering was even possible was earlier this year.

In Venter's laundry list of potential applications, a couple of possibilities stood out for me: "CO2 sequestration," and "environmental remediation."

At a lecture more than a decade ago, [oceanographer John Martin] declared: “Give me a half-tanker of iron, and I will give you an ice age.” He was alluding to the fact that the Southern Ocean is packed with minerals and nutrients but strangely devoid of sea life. Martin had concluded that the ocean was anemic—containing very little iron, an essential nutrient for plankton growth. Adding iron, Martin believed, would cool the planet by triggering blooms of CO2-consuming plankton.

Subsequent testing has shown that small amounts of iron can encourage the growth of huge plankton blooms in the Southern Ocean. John Martin added, "Even if the process is only 1 percent efficient, you just sequestered half a ton of carbon for a dime."

Nature is more efficient than we could hope to be with any mechanical sequestering project. That's not to say that natural plankton blooms couldn't be improved upon. Instead of depending upon natural selection or breeding, perhaps plankton could be rebuilt with Venter's methods to be more efficient in sequestering carbon.

But there might also be the possibility of a second benefit. Another part of our environmental crisis is the rise of acid levels in the ocean. The more acidic the oceans, the less coral reefs can grow, and this forms the base of the food chain - of the entire ecosystem.

The acid in the oceans is carbonic acid. This acid is the byproduct of the chemical reaction of CO2 and water.

It's been suggested that one solution to the acidic oceans is to dump limestone into the ocean. But dumping limestone is another mechanical solution. It would be a hugely expensive undertaking to mine limestone and transport it to the ocean for dumping.

But, as fortune would have it, limestone is itself a form of sequestered CO2. Putting those two facts together (that limestone is form of sequestered CO2 AND that limestone is alkaline) suggests that these plankton blooms might have a dual benefit.

What if plankton (or a Venter-esque engineered improvement) could not only sequester CO2, but also provide an alkaline byproduct like lime?

Obviously, there are many questions to ask. Does plankton sequester the CO2 into an alkaline substance like limestone? If not, could it be engineered to do so, or do so more efficiently? Would this alkaline byproduct significantly alter the ocean's pH for the better? Would the CO2 stay sequestered if it is also busy neutralizing carbonic acid?

Engineer Poet had additional thoughts and questions:

Calcium carbonate is only stable in seawater down to a certain depth; as pressure increases, it dissolves more and more easily. There are diatoms which build their shells out of calcium carbonate, but as they fall toward the bottom after dying their shells dissolve and go back into the water.

The fate of the rest of the biomass is another question. There are large food chains at the ocean bottom driven by the rain of dead organisms from above. If you add enough carbon to this to offset human fossil fuel consumption, will you have enough oxygen in the deep waters for the aerobic organisms? Will the deep ocean floor go anoxic and become one huge dead zone? I'd want to know before pushing this scheme further.

Absolutely. You'd want to know all this before beginning. Even then, it would be best to push forward incrementally in order to assess any unintended or unexpected consequences. That said, it is encouraging that Venter believes engineered life could help address CO2 sequestering and other environmental problems. He's known for accomplishing lofty goals.

May 26, 2005


The Ulitmate Resource

Wired Magazine reports on the ambitious plans of one John Piña Craven:

ocean1.jpg The key to Craven's cool world is converting the ocean's thermal energy. The first step: Sink a pipe at least 3,000 feet deep and start pumping up seawater. The end result: an environmentally sustainable, virtually inexhaustible supply of electricity, freshwater for drinking and irrigation, even air-conditioning.

"What the world doesn't understand," says Craven..."is that what we don't have enough of is cold, not heat."

Craven is currently using his deep-water engineering to make grapes a Hawaiian cash crop and (more ambitiously) to make an oasis out of the Marianas Islands. He theorizes that the deep-water/shallow-water temperature differential in the world's oceans holds the key to humanity's energy problems many times over.

Craven certainly raises an interesting question: why build solar or nuclear power plants to provide energy (or to produce hydrogen to use as fuel) when we already have a natural power plant covering two-thirds of the planet's surface?

Not only can the temperature difference produce energy, it can be used to "sweat" a limitless supply of fresh water off the pipes transporting the cold water. It can also supply (virtually) free air conditioning. And, intriguingly, Craven believes that cold-water treatment can serve as a means of life extension.

My wife and I had a very pleasant stay in a Japanese-style spa resort a couple of years ago. The only part I didn't like was the cold water pool. (I think the temperature was about 60 degrees.) However, my wife insisted that I immerse myself in it and stay there so I could "get the benefit."

Well, maybe she was on to something...

May 10, 2005


The Green Reformation

In the current issue of MIT's Technology Review, Stewart Brand goes on record with a rather startling prediction:

Over the next ten years, I predict, the mainstream of the environmental movement will reverse its opinion and activism in four major areas: population growth, urbani­zation, genetically engineered organisms, and nuclear power.

I certainly hope Brand is right about the coming shift. Clearly, the environmental movement is on the wrong side of history with each of these issues. No matter how we play with the numbers, it's now undeniable that the population explosion has ended, with some population numbers gaining momentum in the opposite direction. Urbanization is good for the environment because it centralizes populations, creating more room for species-preserving habitat. Genetically engineered crops produce better yields and make fewer demands on natural resources. Unlike the fossil fuels we currently use to power our energy grid, nuclear power does not pollute the air or water. Moreover, nuclear power provides the most plausible scenario for enabling the eventual use of hydrogen as a fuel for cars.

So it would seem that logic alone dictates that the environmental movement make these changes. But according to Brand, logic is only part of the equation:

Reversals of this sort have occurred before. Wildfire went from universal menace in mid-20th century to honored natural force and forestry tool now, from “Only you can prevent forest fires!” to let-burn policies and prescribed fires for understory management. The structure of such reversals reveals a hidden strength in the environmental movement and explains why it is likely to keep on growing in influence from decade to decade and perhaps century to century.

The success of the environmental movement is driven by two powerful forces—romanticism and science—that are often in opposition. The romantics identify with natural systems; the scientists study natural systems. The romantics are moralistic, rebellious against the perceived dominant power, and combative against any who appear to stray from the true path. They hate to admit mistakes or change direction. The scientists are ethicalistic, rebellious against any perceived dominant paradigm, and combative against each other. For them, admitting mistakes is what science is.

I finally got around to seeing Luther a couple of weeks ago. The film presents a similar dichotomy to the one Brand describes, with the scholarly Luther challenging the dominant paradigm of the dogmatic church hierarchy. The movie doesn't have a lot of time to spend on the counter-reformation which eventually ocurred, wherein the Catholic church cleaned up its own act on many of the isssues which had initially led Luther to rebel. But I think what Brand is describing, 10 years down the road, is a counter-reformation within the environmental movement.

Before there can be a counter-reformation, however, won't there first have to be a protestant reformation? Won't some of these scholarly, ethicalistic scientists have to break with Rome over the central issue of authority?

No, not the papacy.

I was thinking more like global warming.

In his article, I note that Brand does not challenge the received wisdom concerning global warming in any way. In fact, his major argument for nuclear power is the benefit it will provide in combating global warming.

But then again, Luther dedicated his first book on papal indulgences to the pope himself. The story is just beginning.

April 8, 2005


Renewable Resources

Rand Simberg provides an excellent critique of rhetoric about "renewable resources" on Tech Central Station. The money quote has to do with how and where the environment has actually changed, both for the better and the worse:

The environment in the industrialized world, and particularly the US, today is in fact cleaner, our health better, our lifespans longer, our forests larger, than was the case during colonial times. That things are in bad shape in much of the rest of the world is a consequence mostly of awful government, not any intrinsic resource issue per se. The largest environmental disasters have been in countries in which unaccountable dictators made decisions about the allocation of resources (e.g., Saddam draining the marshes, the denuding of Haiti's forests, the vast environmental messes of the former Soviet Union, etc.) Similarly, it is command economies that waste and destroy resources. For instance, the Soviet Union actually subtracted value, as absurdly demonstrated by the fact that it was generally cheaper for Soviet farmers to feed their hogs with processed bread than with the grain from which it was made. Wealth, property rights and freedom are the best solution to concerns of resource utilization (and renewal).

Well said. Although I think there is also a role for government regulation to play. I'm not sure how much cleaner our environment today would be absent some well-placed laws governing industrial and other forms of pollution.

But Rand really has me scratching my head with this last part:

Even worse, it misleads many into supporting what has become a key (and mistaken) goal of the so-called "environmental movement" -- to limit human population, because this is perceived to be necessary in order to conserve those "limited resources." But to do so is to limit the quantity of human ingenuity itself. And that, as the late Julian Simon pointed out, is the ultimate resource, for which there remains plenty of room on our home planet, and beyond it as well, as long as we continue to renew and make the best use of it.

Well, now if that's true, I may just have to re-think my whole Save the Planet by Eliminating the Humans strategy. Hmmmmm.....

March 31, 2005


Well, It's Only Fair

...seeing as we have a name for them, too. But I wonder what their name for us, translated literally, means?

Subdivision Deer?

SUV Bears?

Really Big Hairless Raccoons with Guns?

March 30, 2005


What's It Worth?

A panel of international experts has published a detailed report showing that our lovely planet is rapidly going to hell without even providing the common courtesy of a handbasket: *

Humans are damaging the planet at an unprecedented rate and raising risks of abrupt collapses in nature that could spur disease, deforestation or "dead zones" in the seas, an international report said on Wednesday.

The study, by 1,360 experts in 95 nations, said a rising human population had polluted or over-exploited two thirds of the ecological systems on which life depends, ranging from clean air to fresh water, in the past 50 years.

"At the heart of this assessment is a stark warning," said the 45-member board of the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment.

"Human activity is putting such strain on the natural functions of Earth that the ability of the planet's ecosystems to sustain future generations can no longer be taken for granted," it said.

Well, I don't see that we have any choice. The obvious answer is that we need to start exterminating humans until some of these things improve. Obviously, the humans who do the most damage will be the first to go. People who drill for oil. Fishermen. People who drive SUVs.

I drive a Jeep Liberty, but it's only a V6. Obviously, we should first kill everybody who drives a V8 and then wait a few years to see if things don't improve. But, hey, if they don't -- I'm definitely on the list.

Actually, the folks who put the report together don't seem to have anything quite that extreme in mind. And they offer this interesting analysis:

A wetland in Canada was worth $6,000 a hectare (2.47 acres), as a habitat for animals and plants, a filter for pollution, a store for water and a site for human recreation, against $2,000 if converted to farmland, it said. A Thai mangrove was worth $1,000 a hectare against $200 as a shrimp farm.

Well now I'm starting to look at this thing from more of an entrepreneurial perspective. Look at the money that can be made buying out Canadian farmland and converting it to wetlands! And there's an even better return for anyone who wants to start converting Thai shrimp farms to mangrove swamps.

I'm just not clear who's going to be paying that money. And if there isn't anyone willing to pay, what exactly does it mean to say that wetlands and mangrove swamps are "worth" that amount?

I have a feeling that the experts would argue that wetlands are worth the greater amount to the State, while farm land is worth the lesser amount to the farmer. So how exactly do the twain meet? I guess the trick is to buy up all the farmland (shrimp and otherwise) and sell it to the state!

Or maybe there's some other way to realize that value. Something that I'm not thinking of.

Of course, if I go back to my original idea, the answer becomes obvious -- kill the farmers.

UPDATE: Rand Simberg has some related thoughts.


*I have absolutely no idea what that means.



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