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October 31, 2006


Hubble Saved!

For now, anyway:

Administrator Michael Griffin announced a daring space shuttle flight to repair and upgrade the 16-year-old telescope in the spring of 2008 — a reversal of the previous NASA chief, who chose to let the orbiting telescope die because of safety concerns for astronauts after the shuttle Columbia disaster.

The $900 million rehab mission, carried out in five astronaut spacewalks from the shuttle Discovery, should permit the telescope to keep taking pictures until 2013, allowing scientists to gaze even deeper into the beginnings of the cosmos.

I'm no fan of ongoing shuttle missions, but if they're going to be launching the thing anyway, I'm glad they've decided to breathe some more life into Hubble. We've been calling for this for some time now.

Here's to a few more years of getting images like these.

October 30, 2006


The Elephant and the Black Hole

Fascinating stuff:

What happens when you throw an elephant into a black hole? It sounds like a bad joke, but it's a question that has been weighing heavily on Leonard Susskind's mind. Susskind, a physicist at Stanford University in California, has been trying to save that elephant for decades. He has finally found a way to do it, but the consequences shake the foundations of what we thought we knew about space and time. If his calculations are correct, the elephant must be in more than one place at the same time.

Read the whole thing. Via GeekPress.

October 29, 2006


The Artificial Baby

Ben Goertzel says that his team at Novamente is about seven years of work away from true AI "infant" that can begin to ascend the cognitive ladder towards human intelligence.

It's a fascinating talk, delivered at the Second Annual Geoethical Nanotechnology Workshop. In working towards his thoughts on AGI, Goertzel covers such topics as uploading and the DARPA Challenge. Plus a bonus guest appearance by Ray Kurzweil.

On a closely related topic, Michael Anissimov wrote recently about the criteria for making a sound AGI investment decision.

October 28, 2006


It's a New Phil, Week 43

No weigh-in this week, so as far as I know I'm still holding steady at 232 for a total weight loss of 65 pounds!!!

I haven't written much about exercise lately, so I thought I would give an update on the sledgehammer-and-two-chairs workout. It has actually evolved into three workouts, two of which I do regularly and one of which I plan to start incorporating more frequently. So here are the three workouts.


1. For Intensity

I do fives sets of the following exercises:

Elevated push-ups (using the chairs)

Elevated yoga push-ups (going from the upward dog to downward dog position and back)

Step up on stairs while swinging hammer overhand -- beginning with right arm and leg

Step up on stairs while swinging hammer overhand -- beginning with left arm and leg

Seated hacky-sack kick, sitting in one chair, facing the other and kicking my leg up and inward over the other chair

This past week I did 55 repititions of each exercise per set. Next week I will go to 60, which means -- if nothing else -- I'll be doing 300 push-ups per workout! I try to focus on speed with each set. The point is to get through each set as quickly as possible while maintaining correct form for the exercise. Although only the stair-step exercise involves anything like running, I think of each of these exercises as running a sprint. The point is to raise my heartbeat and get winded. And let me tell you something: it works.

This routine takes about an hour and I do it MWF.


2. For Endurance / Aerobic Fitness

I do 15 sets of the following exercises:

Lying on my back, raise the hammer with my right arm from the floor with my arm fully extended and the hammer head centered over my chest

Same exercise with my left arm

One-legged squats with left leg while pumping hammer from vertical to paralell with the floor using right arm

Same exercise, only now squatting with right leg and pumping hammer with left arm

One-legged calf raises (i.e., standing on tip-toes) with left leg while pumping hammer overhand with right arm

Same exercise, only now doing raises with right leg while pumping hammer with left arm

Full overhead hammer swing, beginning with legs straight and back arched back, ending with knees bent and hammer head touching the floor, with right hand near top of handle

Same exercise with left hand near top of handle

I do five reps of each exercise per set. That last one is an absolute killer. Unlike with the intensity program, I take no breathers between sets or reps in this program. I'm trying to fit 15 sets into 25 minutes. Yesterday I did it in about 28, so I'm getting there. I do this on Tuesdays and Thursdays. Sometimes Saturdays.


3. For Balance / Flexibility

I'm still working out the details of this routine, but basically it involves much slower hammer swings with an emphasis on breathing. One of the moves is an ovherhead swing and lunge. Another is a side-to-side torso swing. This is kind of the Tai Chi / Yoga portion of the workout. I will probably add it to every day as a kind of warm-up before doing the more demanding workouts, or possibly as a cool-down phase. Or both.

Stay tuned.

It's a New Phil, Week 1

It's a New Phil, Week 2

It's a New Phil, Week 3

It's a New Phil, Week 4

It's a New Phil, Week 5

It's a New Phil, Week 6

It's a New Phil, Week 7

It's a New Phil, Week 8

It's a New Phil, Week 9

It's a New Phil, Week 10

It's a New Phil, Week 11

It's a New Phil, Week 12

It's a New Phil, week 13

It's a New Phil, Week 14

It's a New Phil, Week 15

It's a New Phil, Week 16

It's a New Phil, Week 17

It's a New Phil, Week 18

It's a New Phil, Week 19

It's a New Phil, Week 20

I was on vacation during week 21 and did not post an entry, but thanks for noticing the blank space!

It's a New Phil, Week 22

It's a New Phil, Week 23

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It's a New Phil, Week 26

It's a New Phil, Week 27

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It's a New Phil, Week 29

It's a New Phil, Week 30

It's a New Phil, Week 31

It's a New Phil, Week 32

It's a New Phil, Week 33

It's a New Phil, Week 34

It's a New Phil, Week 35

It's a New Phil, Week 36

It's a New Phil, Week 37

It's a New Phil, Week 38

It's a New Phil, Week 39

It's a New Phil, Week 40

No entry for week 41

It's a New Phil, Week 42

October 27, 2006


Bifurcating Humanity

It very likely will happen, although not along the lines described in this scenario / polemic:

As reported in a variety of rambling articles in what some refer to as "London tube rags," Curry believes that the near-term descendants of the genetic upper class will be tall, slim, healthy, attractive, intelligent and creative. "Underclass" human beings will have devolved into dim-witted, short goblin-like creatures.

Further down the road, upperclass humans will pay a price for reliance on technology. Spoiled by technology that will do everything for them, humans could come to resemble "domesticated animals." Chins would recede, as a result of chewing on carefully processed foods. Reliance on medicine would result in weakened immune systems, with genetic weaknesses no longer thrown out of the gene pool. The logical outcome, says Curry, would be two sub-species human beings; one group gracile (slim and attractive) and the other more robust and physically strong.

An aside to our friends in the UK: It's the 21st century. Time to get over this whole "class" obsession, already. When taking the Express train from Heathrow Airport to central London -- about a 20 minute ride, IIRC -- you actually have the choice of two classes of service. I mean, is it just me? How class conscious do you have to be to shell out an extra five pounds so you can turn your nose up ever so slightly at the thought of your social inferiors riding in the cheap car? For twenty minutes? Sheesh!!!

</aside>

Anyhow, as Bill Christensen at Technovelgy rightly points out, the original model of future human evolutionary bifurcation is highly superior from a literary standpoint, if ultimately just as flawed.

Humanity likely will be bifurcating, but I don't think it will take 100,000 years. And the resulting groups won't be called Elois and Morlocks. Instead, the two groups will simply be known as "humans" and "MOSHes."



I Nominate Glenn Reynolds

I mean, he's the perfect amalgam of Warren Buffet, Ray Kurzweil, and Bill Joy. But he also has a certain timeless, heroic quality putting us in mind of the great ones who have come before. If anybody is going to save the planet, it's him.

Plus, in the movie, Angelina Jolie could play Dr. Helen.

AngieDrH.jpg

I don't know if they're taking nominations, but Glenn is definitely the guy.

Also, I'm not just anybody saying this. I was offered a slot on the Lifeboat Foundation's Scientific Advisory Board. That's right. Offered. Unfortunately, I never got around to sending them a bio. Still, you know...that's something.

BTW, while you're at the Lifeboat Foundation site, stick around a while. Read some of the stuff. This is an important outfit. Oh, and don't forget to drop Glenn a line and let him know he's the guy.

UPDATE: Hey, an Instalanche! Okay, Chief, here's an update on casting the movie, per your specs:

AndieDrH.jpg

And if anyone was wondering about who to put in the other role, I have it narrowed down to three likely candidates:

burtKeLa.jpg

SECOND UPDATE: Dr. Helen herself has chimed in with a casting choice. That's Chris Noth, Mr. Big from Sex and the City. Judge for yourselves...

GlCh.jpg

October 26, 2006


Stare Real Hard

What do you see?

pidigits.jpg

Squint. Look at it sideways. Cross your eyes.

Is a pattern beginning to emerge? Or is this a trick? Maybe there's no real image there. Maybe this is just random TV white noise.

Well, okay, it is random. But it isn't white noise.

It's something much more important.

Cool, eh?

Via GeekPress.

October 25, 2006


Aziz Says No

And apparently, he means it.

October 24, 2006


A Plausible Scenario

A voice speaks to us from the future:

At our local mall, events-management sub-engines emit floods of locative data. So if Debbie and me sneak in there, looking for some private place to get horizontal, all the vidcams swivel our way. Then a rent-a-cop shows up. What next? Should we go to Lovers' Lane? There aren't any! They eliminated all those! They were tracked down with satellites and abolished with Google Maps.

Okay, sure: I know I sound pretty depressed. Us teenage poets depress easily. You know what they tell me whenever I rant like this? "Get a hobby." Play imaginary fantasy computer games! That is allowed me! Wow, thanks! When she nursed me as a baby, my Mom dropped me right on my head to play Wonder-World of Witchcraft. I sure know where that story goes. If "religion is the opiate of the people", then immersive multiplayer 3D virtual worlds are hard-core Afghani heroin. My Mom will never make it back into the labor force: Mom's way too busy building herself up to 146th-level SuperMasonic Tolkien-Fantasy Ultra-Elf Queen. Like that helps! Look, I can show you Mom's gaming environment, right on the screen here. My Mom's a Welfare Elf Queen (CR) (system crash) (hard reboot)

...or at least a future, brought to us by science fiction author Bruce Sterling. Great title, too. By all means, read the whole thing.


Was this Your Stop?

wevearrived.jpg

Actually, it's not so much a stop as where the trip begins.

Related post here.


This Doesn't Take Long

And it is preferable to doing nothing, which is what I am forced to admit has been my default position. Take two minutes out of your day. Or, if for whatever reason you don't think this is the right approach, take a few minutes and work on something you do consider constructive. (And tell us about it.) I see the logic of this kind of analysis, but ultimately don't find it persuasive. To stand by and do nothing in the face of genocide because of all the awful criticism that will be thrown one's way is not leadership. And I'm talking about the US as a whole, not just our president. The argument that taking action would create logisitical challenges to other, more vital, concerns seems more valid but is also less than 100% satisfactory.

I don't pretend to have all the answers -- or any answers, really. But I believe that doing something is better than doing nothing.

October 23, 2006


Time for a Halo Push Prize

LW_Training_Dec_165.jpgNext year a group of U.S. infantry will become the first soldiers ever to use wearable electronics in actual combat.

It's been a long time coming. The Land Warrior program was first proposed in 1991. Three generations of hardware/software later, we might have something useful:

Radios and GPS locators come standard. A helmet-mounted monocle lets the soldier know he and his buddies are on a satellite-powered map. That same monocle is connected to the weapon sight, so the infantryman can, in effect, shoot around corners. The sight also serves as a long-range zoom, with twelve times amplification. "It makes every rifleman a marksman," Colonel Richard Hansen, Land Warrior's project manager, crows. Night vision, and laser targeting – which once required clunky binoculars, or attachments to the gun -- are now built in, too.

And the fact that all of the soldiers can be tracked in real time means that friendly fire accidents should occur less often. But of course that means that network security is a BIG issue.

One commentor had a great idea.

...has there been any real keeping-up with progress made in the civilian world?

low-power CPUs, Bluetooth/UWB, low-power OLED screens, cheap GPS and cameras, a lot has changed since the early '90s.. And it's gotten cheap.

I wonder how much of Land Warrior could be built in a garage using COTS parts and some clever programming? I'd bet we could see some interesting analogues on a paintball field first..

Brilliant! DARPA should start an annual Halo Push Prize open to universities and weekend warriors alike. The team that can demonstrate the best wearable electronics in real-world conditions wins. This would require that teams compete against each other Survivor-style. You could end up with corporate sponsors. Intel v. AMD.

Hopefully it would look something like this:

halo-collage2.jpg


...eventually.

Hattip to Instapundit.

October 21, 2006


It's a New Phil, Week 42

Up one pound over the past two weeks, putting me at 232 pounds for a total weight loss of 65 pounds!! I am exactly 10 pounds away from the next milestone of 75 pounds.

Or maybe I'm closer to that milestone than I thought. An e-mail from Amanda at Dr. Harris's office:

Hey Phil. After we saw you this morning I was looking through your med chart reflecting on your success. I have to say I am impressed and inspired. There is something I want to share with you. While thumbing through the pages I found an entry from 9/27/05 when you came in for a [specific personal medical info deleted, you bunch of Nosey Parkers]. On that day, according to the chart your weight was 306. If we go by the highest recorded weight, and your weight recorded two weeks ago, you have lost 75 pounds!!! I wanted to be the first one to congratulate you. Congrats and God bless!!!

Amanda

I will reiterate what I've said before: Dr. Harris and staff are the greatest.

Still, I 'm not going to give myself credit for losing 75 pounds until I hit 222. So stay tuned.

It's a New Phil, Week 1

It's a New Phil, Week 2

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I was on vacation during week 21 and did not post an entry, but thanks for noticing the blank space!

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It's a New Phil, Week 40

October 20, 2006


I Just Have One Question

Can you fire weapons when this thing is engaged? That always seemed like a serious drawback to me.


Web 2.0 and Fake Sharing = CRAZY DELICIOUS!!!

Lawrence Lessig argues that YouTube is a less-than-optimal implementation of the Web 2.0 ideal:

A “true sharing” site doesn’t try to exercise ultimate control over the content it serves. It permits, in other words, content to move as users choose.

A “fake sharing” site, by contrast, gives you tools to make seem as if there’s sharing, but in fact, all the tools drive traffic and control back to a single site.

In this sense, YouTube is a fake sharing site, while Flickr, (parts of) Google, blip.tv, Revver and EyeSpot are true sharing sites.

Why does this matter? Content that is truly shared is "hackable" and "remixable." Being able to do something new and interesting with shared content is (arguably) the whole point of sharing it in the first place.

On the other hand, even in the rarified futuristic Web 2.0 world we live in, there is still a distinction between those who consume content and those who generate it. Web 2.0 is supposed to tear those barriers down, and that's good. But most of the people who e-mailed a link to Lazy Sunday to a friend had no intention of creating their own version of it.

Which is not to say that it couldn't be done:

Lots more examples here. I just like the one above because it looks like something my buddy Ken and I would have done when we were that age, if the technology had existed.

Centralized fake sharing is a good way to distribute fixed content. It's interesting to note that NBC eventually yanked the video from YouTube and other outlets so that they could be the sole source. If you want to watch the original now, there's only one place to find it. Fake sharing models like YouTube and non-sharing models like NBC.com do okay by getting fixed content out to consumers. Meanwhile, the growing class of content producers have sites like Flickr and Blip.tv where the remixability and hackability of shared content allow them to generate new products that can find their way to the fake sharing distribution channels.

It's isn't Lessig's ideal world, where everything would be shared all the time, but it seems like a workable compromise.


Free Lunar Lander T-Shirt

Courtesy of the Lunar Lander Challenge blog. All you have to do is provide the t-shirt; they're giving away the nifty design:

LunarLandersIronOn.jpg

So in what sense, you might ask, is this a free t-shirt? Well, I hate to break it to you folks, but TANSTAAFTS. (Hat-tip: Robert A. Heinlein.)

Meanwhile, in more serious Lunar Lander Challenge news, it looks like Armadillo's entry has been given the green light to make a run for the prize. (Check out the neat photo of the Quad Lander in action.) How many years away, I wonder, are we from a challenge prize that involves actually landing a spacecraft on the moon?

October 19, 2006


Update on Taxation in Virtual Worlds

Looks like the Joint Economic Comittee has made the very reasonable recommendation that virtual transactions shouldn't be subject to real-world taxation:

Based on existing law, if an individual generates cash income in U.S. dollars from transactions in virtual economies, the question may arise whether a tax is due on that real-world income. However, if the transaction takes place entirely within a virtual economy, then it seems there is no taxable event. Such distinctions should be addressed and resolved in a common-sense manner. Clearly, virtual economies represent an area where technology has outpaced the law. The goal of the forthcoming JEC study is to help lawmakers understand the issues involved and head off any premature attempt to impose a tax on virtual economies.

I recently made a similar suggestion. Read all about the JEC recommendation at the TaxProf Blog (Hat-tip: what's his face.)


Chris Rock's Mom: Fooled by Randomness?

Sure, it sounds like bad service, but is it racial discrimination? I've had to wait longer than that for service on occasion, even when there was apparently no reason why that should be the case (i.e., very busy restaurant, apparently understaffed, etc.)

I'm not defending the Cracker Barrel in question, but there are an awful lot of reasons why bad service can happen. The patron will tend to assume that bad service derives from bad will on the part of the server -- in this instance in the form of racial discrimination, although it's also easy to get the idea that the server is lazy or arrogant or has it in for you. The reality is that this is rarely the case. You can't survive in food service for long, working for tips, if you deliberately try to create a bad experience for your customers. Again, I'm not saying that it doesn't happen, or that the Cracker Barrel in question didn't commit racial discrimination. But that's one of many possible explanations, and not necessarily the most probable...based on the facts as given.

Superstitions, conspiracy theories, and sure-fire gambling systems derive from precisely this kind of application of bias to a set of facts.

Anyhow, if everybody who waits half an hour for service in a restaurant has a lawsuit settlement coming to them, Stephen is going to be a very busy guy.

October 18, 2006


Galaxies Colliding

Here's something you don't see every day:

A seemingly violent collision of two galaxies is in fact a fertile marriage that has birthed billions of new stars, and an image released on Tuesday gives astronomers their best view yet.

galaxies colliding.jpg

Just one more startling and amazingly beautiful image from our old friend the Hubble.

October 17, 2006


A Cup of Joe and a Pot of Good News

Economist Brad Delong on the startling economic growth that has occured over the past 350 years:

One quibble -- who says we won't be around a couple of centuries hence?

Some interesting commentary here. Not surprisingly, many readers of Delong's blog are left-leaning buzzkills. And, of course, there's only one critter in the universe more annoying than them!

I like the Morning Coffee format. I think when I re-launch the L2si Report one of these days I might just have to do it as a video podcast.

UPDATE: To put it in terms agreeable to the game:

Web 1.0 The Speculist
Web 2.0 L2si Report Video Podcast

October 16, 2006


Cheap, Abundant, Distributed

Last week Glenn Reynolds' Internet model for air travel was all the buzz. All well and good, but how about a similar model for nuclear power? Michael Anissimov outlines a plan for safe, cheap, abundant energy -- this is a plausible, relatively near-term solution. Exciting stuff.


Plus, it's the very infrastructure that can help us gear up to our Helium 3 endgame.


Now in Second Life

Lots of companies have been showing up in Second Life over the past few months. Now Reuters has set up a news bureau there.

And don't be surprised if you see the IRS open a branch office there soon:

"Right now we're at the preliminary stages of looking at the issue and what kind of public policy questions virtual economies raise -- taxes, barter exchanges, property and wealth," said Dan Miller, senior economist for the Joint Economic Committee of the U.S. Congress.

"You could argue that to a certain degree the law has fallen (behind) because you can have a virtual asset and virtual capital gains, but there's no mechanism by which you're taxed on this stuff," he told Reuters in a telephone interview.

This is bad news. Once you bring taxation into the Linden Labs virtual economy, all other forms of regulation will follow. When the news broke last week about the online gambling ban, I figured that the online gambling activity that takes place in Second Life would be exempt, seeing as it's only virtual money that changes hands.

But if the tax authorities start treating Linden Dollars like real money, that's a big game over. And it isn't just gambling. Right now, I can go into Second Life and start my own Building and Loan to compete with the branch bank that Wells Fargo has opened there. Or I could hang out my shingle as a loan shark and hire werewolves to enforce repayment for me (within the rules and behavioral norms established by the Second Life community, of course.) The 2L economy is a big playground where people are free to give new and weird models of commerce a try. But that kind of environment only works if with play money.

The rule should be that it's play money while it's in Second Life, and its taxable and subject to regulation when you cash out. Fat chance, though. The success of the virtual economies is going to kill them. Virtual economies are likely to be replaced by heavily regulated electronic economies that are every bit as real as the ones in the "real world."

That's too bad.


Ultimate Weight Loss Made Easy

Not necessarily inexpensive, though. If I wanted to, I could drop my remaining 231 pounds more or less instantaneously. But the effect would only last about four minutes and it would cost about $4000 bucks:

Zero gravity, once an exclusive playground for astronauts and select scientists, is no longer out of reach to everyday people. Millionaires, doctors, and teachers are feeling the fleeting freedom of weightlessness. The price is under $4,000 for nearly five minutes in zero-G.

"It's the wave of the future," said Syracuse University public administration and space policy professor W. Henry Lambright. "It's part of the maturity of the space program."

In the more than 40 years of zero-gravity flights, beginning with astronauts, the world's two largest space agencies have flown thousands of scientists, engineers, astronauts, and even the cast and crew of the movie Apollo 13, said Alan Ladwig, former
NASA associate administrator. Ladwig, now Washington space operations chief for Northrop Grumman Corp., estimates 50,000 people may have flown in zero gravity.

Five planes create zero-G conditions. NASA has one. The European Space Agency has one. The Russians have one. Two are commercially operated in the United States by Zero Gravity Corp. of Dania Beach, Fla.

Besides Zero Gravity Corp., there are at least three other companies that sell zero-G flights to tourists, including Novespace of France, Space Adventures Ltd. of Virginia, and Incredible Adventures Inc. of Florida. Those companies must arrange for a jet either from Zero Gravity Corp. or the European or Russian space agencies.

People who shell out for zero-gravity flights will no doubt also be in the market for sub-orbital and even orbital flights, once they become affordable. And these are the same folks who will be booking overnight stays in space hotels.

Personally, I'm holding out for a Carnival Cruise to Mars and the asteroid belt, but that might be a while yet. After all, that midnight buffet would be an interesting experience in a zero-g or low-g environment.

October 12, 2006


New Window on the Nano World in the Heartland

TECNAI.jpgJust so you know we're doing our part here in Iowa. Check out Iowa State University's new scanning transmission electron microscope


Dressy, but not Ostentatious

The planet Saturn is wearing a string of pearls.

October 11, 2006


Goldberg's Thoughts

I've been at a conference all week and so missed these comments from Jonah Goldberg on the BattsGac premiere. Interestingly, he uses an alternative abbreviation for the show's title -- "BSG." How quaint.

October 09, 2006


Battsgac, Meme Wars, and Other Feldercarp*

There’s a controversy brewing over the season premiere of Battlestar Galactica, which aired this past Friday on the Sci-Fi network.

For those unfamiliar with the show, Battsgac (which is what all the true fans call it) deals with —as Lorne Greene was wont to say about an earlier incarnation of the show — “a rag-tag fugitive fleet” of starships populated by the last remnants of the human race. These folks are busily “fleeing Cylon tyranny” (the Cylons being a race of rebellious upstart robots, perhaps the most vindictive and unruly product of human technology since the photocopier), and they are carrying out a quest for “a shining planet known as Earth.”

But that description hardly does Battsgac justice. For two years now, the new incarnation of Glen A. Larson’s masterpiece has delivered consistently gripping, compelling television by way of the Cylons kicking human butt all up and down the galaxy. This show has it all: political intrigue, human-machine crossbreeding; gritty battle sequences (often filmed with artistic overexposure effects and jerky camera movement); serious religious debates like you haven’t witnessed since your freshman year of college; eclectic, innovative profanity that slips right past the censors… I could go on and on.

Oh, and good acting and special effects and stuff, too. Snarkiness of previous (and upcoming) paragraphs aside, I really do love it.

cylon.jpg

At the end of the previous season, most of the human survivors had decided to settle on a newly discovered planet, brimming with hope that they would be able to resume normal human lives as farmers, labor union organizers, pet psychics, and so forth. Things were working out more or less okay for a year (actual elapsed TV time: about ten minutes) when, wham! What should come thundering out of hyperspace but an entire gods-damned (see how it slips right past?) Cylon armada , and before you know it all of our human friends – except for a few who were still orbiting the planet and who managed to hightail it out of there – are living under Cylon occupation.

Okay, now this is from whence the aforementioned controversy commences its aforementioned brewing. In the two-hour season opener, we learn that the humans have initiated a resistance movement, referred to by the Cylons as an “insurgency.” Where taking out Cylons is concerned, our plucky insurgents will stop at nothing. Soon they’re hiding weapons in houses of worship, building bombs next to a hospital with no regard to safety of the patients, and sending suicide bombers into situations guaranteed to take out Cylons, with less and less regard for how many humans are killed in the process. Meanwhile, the evil and tenacious Cylons are arresting people off the streets, detaining them indefinitely without privilege of attorney, and torturing and killing them pretty much indiscriminately.

Though the practice is not mentioned by name, it’s a safe bet that the Cylons are subjecting human beings to waterboarding. They might also be flushing copies of the Holy Scriptures of the Gods of Kobol down toilets, although, again, this practice is not explicitly referenced. But one guy did get his eye gouged out.

Now, believe it or not, if you examine these fictional events carefully and think really hard, you begin to see parallels, very subtle parallels, to real-world events. And these parallels are disturbing. Because, if you think about it, all that detaining and torturing and so forth that the Cylons are doing is kind of like what the US is doing in the War on Terror! And when you watch all that brave hiding-weapons-in-temples and blowing-oneself-to-bits that the humans are doing, you can’t help but think of things that have gone on in Israel and Iraq.

Remember, the Cylons are calling the human rebels insurgents. Think about it, folks.

Some might come to the conclusion that the creators of Battlestar Galactica are inviting us to view Americans as bad guys (Cylons) and Iraqi and Palestinian terrorists as good guys (humans). Wow, what a turning of the tables. What a shocking, edgy, and courageous line of storytelling that would be. And think I already mentioned subtle, but once again. Subtle.

Once you start down this path, the logic is unavoidable. The US is, indeed, reminiscent of the Cylon Empire. I mean, ultimately, aren’t we a just a bunch of religious fundamentalist genocidal robots? Be honest. And then consider how much your average Jihadi cohort has in common with the typical hard-drinking, hard-loving, free-thinking, and co-ed military unit depicted on Battlestar Galactica.

Eerie, isn’t it?

Of course, it’s possible that the creators of BattsGac didn’t want us to draw any particular conclusions. Maybe they just wanted to see what happened when certain concepts were juxtaposed, and characters with whom we’re sympathetic begin to do things we find abhorrent. That sort of thing can be interesting, after all, even if it does lack all that appealing shock value.

On the other hand, if they really were suggesting that the US is the Cylons to the Iraqi insurgents’ human resistance movement, then I have exactly two words for the creators of Battlestar Galactica.

The first of which, interestingly, is frack. (Please don't follow that link if you tend to be offended by language. Thanks.)

But I don't think it's as simple as that. I think, at some level, the folks who make Battsgac know that they're doing a show about people who fly spaceships and shoot at mean robots. While they appear to take the whole thing extremely seriously, that kind of polemic doesn't appear to fit in with what's come before.

Here's what one of the actors has to say about how the show really is an allegorical representation of Iraq :

"Nothing is going the way we thought it would in Iraq," said Olmos, who has spoken out on antiwar and pro-Latino themes in the past. "And in our world, we make you re-evaluate all the time who the good guys and the bad guys are. (Our heroes) are using suicide bombings to stay alive. So while you're being entertained like crazy, it also makes you think.

Wow, talk about hitting the nail on the head! That does indeed make me think. It makes me think that it's a good thing they're paying this guy to act and not to write. He is totally missing the point that the insurgents on Battsgac aren't doing much to "keep themselves alive" by using suicide bombers. In fact, the Cylons can kill all the humans any time they want to -- and have even discussed wiping out 80% or so of the remaining population to keep them "manageable." The only reason they didn't just wipe them all out to begin with was because some of the Cylons have been infected with a new a idea, let's call it a meme, that says that there should be peace and love and other good stuff between humans and Cylons.

So what we really have going on here is a full-blown meme war. (Hey, if everybody else can stamp the show with their pet ideas, why can't I?) Some Cylons have picked up the love meme from humans, but unfortunately some humans have picked up evil, brutal memes from the Cylons -- or developed them themselves, it doesn't matter. Now we have a real parallel to the current situation in the world. It's all a matter of whose memes will win out.

In both settings, my money says that niceness will somehow prevail.

* Feldercarb? Felgercarb? There appear to many possible spellings. It's the dumbest word in the Battsgac lexicon, with the possible exception of "dagget."

October 07, 2006


DARPA Grand Challenge, Year 3

stanley.jpgIn the first year of the DARPA Grand Challenge, none of the robotic vehicles finished the desert course. In Year 2, five robot cars finished a different but equally difficult off-road course. The picture is of "Stanley," the Stanford University DARPA Grand Challenge winner.

I guess DARPA decided that last year was just too easy. To keep the "Grand Challenge" ... challenging, they're taking the race to town:

The robot racers will face a "simulated" urban course 96 kilometres (60 miles) in length on November 2007. The course will feature urban obstacles, such as trees and buildings, traffic signs and other moving vehicles.

After last year's challenge blogger Ivan Kirigin pointed out that the 2005 Grand Challenge didn't mean that robotic cars were ready to drive Ms. Daisy to the store:

Let me just point out that there is a world of difference between off-road dessert driving and freeway driving. There are also huge differences between freeway and city driving.

Dessert driving is very hard [sic.; keeping an ice-cream sundae balanced on your knee in traffic is tough, but I don't think that's what Ivan meant], even for humans. Driving on a rocky, dirt road that you’ve never seen before, for those used to nice, paved roads, is a challenge. In most cars, you couldn’t top 20mph, making the average speed of Stanley, 19.1 mph, seem pretty good.

Off-road, there are few mobile obstacles, many large obstacles, many obscured obstacles, very tight turns, steep inclines, no road signs, no lanes (or lane markers).

On paved roads, you have signs, smooth curves, lane markers, barriers on the road edge, reflectors in the lanes and on the side of the road. Unfortunately, you also have other drivers, and sometimes pedestrians. You are also traveling, on average, at much higher speeds. This changes something called “look-ahead distance”, i.e. how far ahead you need to look for threats to avoid them.

Good points. But, as different as these two types of driving are - off-road and crowded Interstate - they are alike in one way. Both types of driving are within the capabilities of an experienced human driver.

Somewhere today, some guy will jump in his SUV 4x4, and drive from the city to go off-roading in the desert. He'll back from his driveway and hit the surface streets to the Interstate. Along the way he'll have to swerve around some guy that started to pull out on him from a stop sign.

Once on the Interstate it's crowded until he gets well out of the city. Cars will be merging in and out. He gets cut off once or twice.

After his exit he has a little uncrowded surface street driving. Then, he switches into four wheeled drive and hits the desert for the off-road fun he came for.

There's perhaps four different categories of driving involved there - city surface steet driving, Interstate driving, country road driving, and off-road driving. One processor - a human brain - can handle it all. And, usually, both the driver and the SUV return safely to home and garage at the end of the day.

This human capability/flexibility is what DARPA is aiming to duplicate with machines. I predict that the year after a successful urban race DARPA will combine different types of driving (perhaps off-road and urban) to see if a single machine can be as flexible as some guy trying to escape the city for a day in the desert.

I'd love to see next month's Urban Challenge live. This would be perfect for ESPN 8 - you know - "The Ocho."

October 06, 2006


It's A New Phil, Week 40

Get Your Kicks

Down four pounds this week to 231, for a total weight loss of 66 pounds!!!

I'm leaving for Florida tomorrow, where I'll be for a week -- work-related conference and trade show. Since I won't be available for my weekly weigh-in, the staff at Dr. Harris's office and I have decided that this might be a good opportunity to switch over to a bi-weekly weigh-in schedule. I'm not sure whether these entries then become a bi-weekly feature of the blog, or whether I just keep on waxing philosophical even on the weeks when there's no weight news to report.

We shall see.

It's a New Phil, Week 1

It's a New Phil, Week 2

It's a New Phil, Week 3

It's a New Phil, Week 4

It's a New Phil, Week 5

It's a New Phil, Week 6

It's a New Phil, Week 7

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It's a New Phil, Week 14

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It's a New Phil, Week 20

I was on vacation during week 21 and did not post an entry, but thanks for noticing the blank space!

It's a New Phil, Week 22

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It's a New Phil, Week 36

It's a New Phil, Week 37

It's a New Phil, Week 38

It's a New Phil, Week 39

October 05, 2006


Huge Announcement: Archon X Prize for Genomics

Methuselah Mouse Prize co-founder Dave Gobel e-mails:

Peter Diamandis announces Archon X Prize for Genomics

$10,000,000 prize to sequence 100 human genomes in 10 days.

A global competition to develop breakthrough technology that dramatically reduces the time and cost of sequencing human genomes and accelerates a new era of personalized, predictive and preventive medicine.

Three teams have already signed up for the competition: VisiGen Biotechnologies Inc, 454 Life Sciences and Westheimer Biomolecular Sciences LLC.
www.xprize.org

NHGRI Director Francis Collins participated in the press confernence whereThe National Human Genome Research Institute of the NIH announced grants awards totalling more than $13 million to speed the development of innovative equencing technologies that reduce the cost of DNA sequencing and expand the use of genomics in medical research and heathcare. The new funds will be focused on supporting nine investigators to help bring about sequencing of a genome for $1,000.

In addtion to the Archon X Prize, after the prize is won, a group of 100 individuals will have their genomes sequenced, "The Genome 100" for $1,000,000...current announced members are...

Dr. Stephen Hawking
Larry King
Paul Allen
Michael Milken
Larry Page
Burt Rutan
Anoush Ansari

Anousha Ansari sees a sea change in philanthropy - venture philanthopy focused on prizes - as donors are looking for significantly improved leveraged returns on thier donations.

Exciting stuff. Randall Parker has more information, and some musings on the implications. More details here.

October 03, 2006


Winning the Meme Wars

InstaPundit gives me the idea that if the West really wants to get the upper hand in its meme war with radical Islam, we need to package our memes with a snappy catch-phrase. Glenn's borrowed tagline...

The one meme to have when you're having more than one

...might work, but here are some alternatives:

From the Land of Sky Blue Waters come the memes refreshing...

Western memes tast great. No, they're less filling. No, they tast great. No, less filling! No, taste great! (On second thought, the argumentative nature of this one might be problematic.)

Religious tolerance -- The King of Memes.

Here's to good friends; tonight is kind of special. The memes we pour must say something more, somehow. So tonight (tonight) let it be Western memes.

Give that meme a blue ribbon.

And we can back all this up by pointing out that Western memes are beechwood aged and made with pure rocky mountain spring and/or artesian well water. Plus, these are the memes that made Milwaukee famous. I mean come on, extremists...

WASSUP???

beer5.jpg

October 02, 2006


Skype Sucks

Got this charmer of an e-mail today:

Hello bowermaster,

We hate to bring bad news but there's no nice way to say it - your Skype Credit has expired. This means that all your credit you had at your account is now gone.

== What is Skype Credit expiration policy? ==

We've tried to make our expiration policy as user friendly as possible. You just have to place one call every 6 months to keep your credit. Skype Credit expires 180 days after your last purchase or SkypeOut call. Extending the period is as simple as doing short call. This automatically extends the period for another 180 days.

== Why does Skype Credit expire? ==

There are several reasons why Skype expires Skype Credit that hasn't been used for 180 days - we have to comply with normal accounting rules and cannot keep "dead" accounts in our databases forever.

You can view your account history - including your Skype Credit expiry date - on http://www.skype.com/go/myaccount and get more information about our expiration policy here: http://www.skype.com/go/help.faq.expirationpolicy

Please note that after each purchase, it can take up to 10 days for the expiry date in Your Account to refresh.

== Getting help for Skype ==

While you cannot reply to this email directly, you can contact us through our Help section at www.skype.com/help for assistance or to correct any errors. You can also visit our forums at www.skype.com/go/forum.

Thank you very for much for using Skype and best regards,
The people at Skype

I wasn't aware that normal accounting procedures required taking someone's money away and giving nothing in return. That's very interesting...and less than thoroughly convincing. I've been on Sklype several times over the past six months, but I guess I never initiated the call. And now I'm happy to report that I don't intend ever to initiate another Skype call.

Are there any alternatives?

UPDATE: In the comments, a Skype fan explains that -- although the e-mail clearly states that I lost my credits because I didn't make any calls -- apparently I could have been initiating calls in North America and still have lost my credits, because those calls are now free. It seems that my options were as follows:

1. Make international Skypeout calls or send SMS's
2. Purchase ringtones (Dang, sorry I blew my chance on that one. Talk about value for money!)
3. Let Skype have my money

I chose option three by default. You live, you learn.

October 01, 2006


It's a New Phil, Week 39

Back up a pound this week to 235, giving me a total weight loss of 62 pounds. After talking it over with the staff at Dr. Harris's office today, I have decided that -- after next week -- I'm going to start weighing in every other week rather than every week. I seem to be having one up week followed by one down week, so maybe this will show the progress is a smoother way.

But I'll keep updating this column every week, of course.

Stephen raises some interesting points about doctors now treating obesity as a disease, reated to this article in Wired:

My thought is that there is no down side to classifying any physical problem that medicine can actually help as a disease. Notice that qualification. When medicine couldn't treat certain problems (alcoholism, obesity, depression, and at present aging), it was not particularly helpful to think of those problems as diseases. Better to tell the sufferer to get some backbone and put down the bottle, drop the fork, and cheer up because we ain't getting any younger.

But to the extent that medicine can help a problem, what harm is there is classifying it as a disease?

I agree up to a point. If by treating it like a disease, we mean paying attention to it and constructively engaging patients to help them overcome it -- as my doctor has -- I'm all for it. I also don't have any objection pharmacalogical solutions, and when a reasonably safe and effective "fat pill" makes it to the market, I'll certainly consider it.

Where I draw the line is major surgery. I'm not saying that it isn't the right solution for some people, but I would personally rather be fat than have intestinal by-pass surgery. Whatever damage obesity may have done to my body, I would have a hard time believing that subjecting myself to that kind of trauma could help somehow.

It's a New Phil, Week 1

It's a New Phil, Week 2

It's a New Phil, Week 3

It's a New Phil, Week 4

It's a New Phil, Week 5

It's a New Phil, Week 6

It's a New Phil, Week 7

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It's a New Phil, Week 16

It's a New Phil, Week 17

It's a New Phil, Week 18

It's a New Phil, Week 19

It's a New Phil, Week 20

I was on vacation during week 21 and did not post an entry, but thanks for noticing the blank space!

It's a New Phil, Week 22

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It's a New Phil, Week 36

It's a New Phil, Week 37

It's a New Phil, Week 38



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