FastForward Radio -- More on the Future of Abundance
Phil Bowermaster and Stephen Gordon continue their discussion about a world without scarcity, with an emphasis on exploring how exactly we get there from here. Blogger Will Brown joined the discussion.
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About our guest:
Will Brown writes about many topics, with an emphasis on strategy, at Where There's a William.
He recommends the following as further reading on this subject:
http://www.garygagliardi.com/
http://www.scienceofstrategy.org/main/
Will comments: "I no longer actively write for Gary, but he remains the modern expert on strategic applications (particularly those removed from the classic military venue) and his initial invitation to me is the reason I'm here to confuse your audience today. :) [But in fact we were no more confused than usual! --Phil]
"Also, I have a recent post up that might serve as a model ...for how a much more broadly based approach to this problem might be inspired:
http://wheretheresawilliam.blogspot.com/2009/01/still-more-entertainment.html
Phil started with a snippet from an essay by "Bruno Argent" (Bruce Sterling) in Seed magazine online:
We now come to the useful word "precarity," which is part of the American lifestyle but distant from American politics. "Precarity" is, of course, the condition of existing precariously. The condition of losing one's safety and security, of losing predictability and the ability to rationally plan ahead, the condition of being humiliated and in danger.
"Precarity" has much to do with the need for a steady income, for predictable hours of work, for a humane respect from one's employer and a need not to be unjustly fired. Below this thin shell of labor-management relations is the deeper, more primal nature of European precarity. It is found in our time-honored European predilection for abject misery, political extremism, totalitarian violence against the dignity of the individual, and world wars.
Normally Americans and Europeans fail to agree about "precarity" — Americans think their precarity is a kind of fluidity and dynamism, while Europeans are lazy featherbedders dawdling over two-hour lunches. But what's certain is that, whatever its definition, precarity is now global. The wealthy and powerful — especially the wealthy and powerful — are precarious. They are being flung about like flotsam, and the precarity once reserved for blue-collar workers is now inside the corner office and the corporate boardroom as well.
This means that we all have new chances to see eye-to-eye on major global economic issues such as currency flows and the aging population. Italy is leading the way in aging — we're the oldest country in Europe — and business stabilized remarkably when we rid ourselves of the comically useless Italian lira. It's proof that people can both adapt to the inevitable and make some bold steps.
To kick of the discussion, Phil raised the following questions:
Do free markets assume that life must be precarious?
Do socialist programs eliminate precarity?
Can we achieve sufficient material abundance that precarity is removed from survival and shifted to other areas?
The group then went through a list of possible ways of getting to a world without scarcity, with the fifth item contributed by listener OKDavidRay:
1. Pure Technology -- replicators and robots produce abundance for all with limited or no government involvement
2. Pure Government -- social engineering and economic restructuring eliminate scarcity without reliance on (further) technological breakthroughs
3. Government / Technology Hybrid --various kinds of partnership between technological developments and government restructuring
4. Economic Singularity -- AIs / posthuman intelligence takes the matter out of our hands and provide us a world of limitless abundance
5. Virtual Worlds -- Transcend scarcity by moving to a new substrate where physical scarcity is not an issue.
For each, the group considered the following questions:
- What are the advantages?
- What are the drawbacks?
- What is the likelihood?
Our front bumper is a sample of Marginal Prophets' "The Difficult Song."
Our exit music this week is from the other chris hardy. The song is "frame by frame."
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Comments
"If you listen live you can contribute to the show by joining the text chat. Our chat host Michael Darling will be on hand to lead the discussion."
It would be more accurate to say "...will be on-line to host the discussion"
Posted by: Anonymous | February 8, 2009 05:58 PM
Actually, it would be MORE accurate to say "may or may not be on line to offer up all manner of both relevant and extraneous -- albeit entertaining -- commentary." But naaaa...too much trouble.
Posted by: Phil Bowermaster | February 8, 2009 06:13 PM
How do I get into the text chat?
Posted by: Dave | February 8, 2009 07:26 PM
Phil/Stephen,
Thanks again for including me in the conversation. I'm not sure it would even be possible to give a proper examination to the entire process we seem poised to follow, but I think we managed to make a reasonable start of it.
Funny thing about the future; you spend all that time seeing it coming and then it goes ahead and surprises you anyway.
:)
Posted by: Will Brown | February 8, 2009 10:53 PM