Hawking Thinks Interstellar Travel Feasible
...and necessary.
Over the past several years Stephen Hawking has been calling for space colonization. His believes that once it becomes possible for a few individuals to kill millions, humanity will be faced with an existential crisis.
His solution - scatter. Once we no longer have all our eggs in this one basket called Earth, we'll have a much better shot of surviving as a species. This is sound advice that we here at The Speculist would love to implement. The big hurdle: no warp drive.
In order to survive, humanity would have to venture off to other hospitable planets orbiting another star, but conventional chemical fuel rockets that took man to the moon on the Apollo mission would take 50,000 years to travel there, he said..."Science fiction has developed the idea of warp drive, which takes you instantly to your destination," [Hawking] said.
"Unfortunately, this would violate the scientific law which says that nothing can travel faster than light."
However, by using "matter/antimatter annihilation", velocities just below the speed of light could be reached, making it possible to reach the next star in about six years.
"It wouldn't seem so long for those on board," he said.
And if the ship were Orion-sized with a crew numbering in the hundreds, spinning for artificial gravity, with greenery, a voyage taking years might not be so bad.
UPDATE: I had no idea how powerful a matter - antimatter explosion could be:
The reaction of 1 kg of antimatter with 1 kg of matter would produce 1.8×1017 J (180 petajoules) of energy (by the equation E=mc²). This is about 134 times as much energy as is obtained by nuclear fusion of the same mass of hydrogen (fusion of 1H to 4He produces about 7 MeV per nucleon, or 1.3×1015 J for 2 kg of hydrogen). This amount of energy would be released by burning 5.6 billion liters (1.5 billion US gallons) of gasoline.
Err...that could be dangerous. It's a bit ironic that the power to take us to the stars is also the reason we should go.
Comments
Hawking's speculations on the nature of physical reality are sublime and his assessment of an existential risk to humanity is right on the money, but his views on spreading humanity out into space are sadly locked in the 20th century. We don't need "warp drive" or "hyperspace" or any of that (extremely fun and entertaining) nonsense, and we don't need huge ships filled with people and the stuff required to keep them alive. By the time we got such a ship built, we should have the capacity to create a digitized space ark that could hold a vast human population, a fairly good record of our civilization, and a blueprint to recreate our planet's biodiversity all in a container about the size of one of those pneumatic tubes you use at the bank drive-through. Instead of one or two big ships, we could send dozens (or hundreds or thousands) of these arks to the far ends of the galaxy at a tad under light speed simultaneously preserving humanity and exploring / settling the universe.
Posted by: Phil Bowermaster
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December 1, 2006 08:13 AM
Hopefully, long before we try to go to the stars (no matter how we do it), we will have millions to billions of people living off-Earth. Maybe the Moon and Mars but most likely in artificial space colonies (O'Neill style or one of the newer designs).
While that doesn't protect us against some existentional risks, it will protect us against many of them.
Posted by: AndrewS
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December 1, 2006 10:48 AM
OTOH, given extreme life extension, what is a trip of 50,000 years (Or less, given at least ion drives)?
Posted by: Karl Hallowell
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December 4, 2006 03:29 AM