You Can See the Bolts on that Robot
Michael Anissimov:
The notion that we will invent AI, and then AI will reason on par with us indefinitely, is based on the assumption that human intelligence is all there is, and there’s nothing beyond it. This attitude strikes me as like that of a person in a small rural village who absolutely refuses to acknowledge the existence of any outside world.
Read the whole thing.
Comments
I guess I'm manic about the Singularity. With the exponential rate of advancement, it seems inevitable. But when I look at the state of the art in AI research, I think....dear god, _this_ is AI? Pffft.
We are just now starting to feel the first effects of hitting Moore's wall; clock speeds on processors have stagnated (though process technology continues to shrink transistors). The instruction-level parallelism well is running dry. Multicore chips are an attempt to stave off the inevitable knee in the curve.
The next five years will see a very different phase of advancement for processors, and it won't bear much resemblance to the past 30 years of processor advancement. Whether we get through that period to another period of rapid exponential growth or not remains to be seen.
Paint me a cynic and a skeptic.
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November 20, 2006 10:37 AM