The Speculist: On Burying the Lead

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On Burying the Lead

Or as some would call it, "burying the lede."

Sunday evening we spent the better part of a 75-minute show talking about expanding our view of the possible so that we can have a clearer idea of what it's reasonable to expect will happen. The crux, which I got around to rather late in the program, is this: what is it reasonable to expect will happen?

Anything and everything that can happen.

Just about anything you can imagine happening (as long as it's possible, and if you need a definition of that, listen to the show.)

A lot of things you have never imagined. In fact, those will probably far outnumber the things that you have imagined.

Okay, so then when will all this amazing stuff happen? My guess would be (assuming that it isn't already happening) soon. Very soon, by historical standards.

Maybe we'll spend some time on that on the next show.

Comments

what is it reasonable to expect will happen?

Anything and everything that can happen.

I could walk outside and get struck by lightening. If I threw a deck of cards in the air they could land in suit order. I could win the lottery.

I don't expect any of those things to happen.

Dustin --

Well, you've got me there. Of course, I didn't say that it's reasonable to expect that everything that can happen will happen to everyone -- some people do get struck by lighning and others win the lottery, after all.

Still, my language was imprecise. Let me try again:

"What is it reasonable to expect will happen?

An astoundingly large subset of anything and everything that can happen.

Just about anything you can imagine happening (as long as it's possible, and if you need a definition of that, listen to the show) -- although, of course, it might not all happen to you personally.

A lot of things you have never imagined. In fact, those will probably far outnumber the things that you have imagined."

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