FFR: Breakthrough Ideas for 2009, Part 3
Phil Bowermaster, Stephen Gordon, and Michael Darling presented their own breakthrough ideas for 2009. What innovations today will make a difference tomorrow?
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The Topics:
- Stephen liked "Race to Witch Mountain." He called it a good kid's movie carried well by Dwayne Johnson's charisma. Other critics were not as generous - it presently has a 39% rating at Rotten Tomatoes.
One critic said, "...certainly not in the E.T.bracket." Stephen: "I agree. Few movies are. E.T. is visual literature that people will be enjoying in 100 years. "Race to Witch Mountain" is a safe and entertaining diversion for you and the kids this weekend."
- Astounding Science Facts:
So a man is injured in a motorcycle accident and spends 20 years in a wheelchair paralyzed from waist down. Then he is bitten by a Brown Recluse spider. More bad luck huh? Well, five days later he regains the ability to walk.
Stephen and Phil are hoping that this one-time miracle can be turned into a treatment.
- Our first breakthrough idea came from Phil - removing fear. The beta-blocker propranolol permanently reduces human fear response. The guys talked about the implications for those facing death due to illness, or danger (police or soldiers), or even political discourse.
And wouldn't this have helped Cougar in Top Gun?
- Michael's first breakthrough idea is taking a fresh look at The Declaration of Independence and our Constitutional system. That new way of self-organization allowed the scientific, material, and moral progress of the last 230 years.
Stephen mentioned the book "The 5000 Year Leap: A Miracle That Changed the World."
"Is it not the glory of the people of America that, while they have paid a decent regard to the opinions of former times and other nations, they have not suffered a blind veneration for antiquity, for custom, or for names to overrule the suggestions of their own good sense, the knowledge of their own situation, and the lessons of their own experience? To this manly spirit posterity will be indebted for the possession, and the world for the example, of the numerous innovations displayed on the American theater in favor of private rights and public happiness... Happily for America, happily we trust for the whole human race, [the founders of the nation] pursued a new and more noble course. They accomplished a revolution which has no parallel in the annals of human society. They reared the fabrics of governments which have no model on the face of the globe. They formed the design of a great confederacy, which it is incumbent on their successors to improve and perpetuate."
- James Madison as quoted in "5000 Year Leap."
- Stephen said that "Lamina" technology (a term coined by Tobias Buckell) could bring us a mundane Singularity very soon.
Of course the projector has to go. It should be replaced by something that only the user perceives - perhaps using eyeglasses as a monitor.
And don't miss learning "the geekiest thing about Stephen."
- Phil second breakthrough idea, "The Longevity Dividend."
- Michael's second breakthrough idea is the development of pluripotent stem cells from adult patients.
This is huge because these (hopefully) embryonic stem cell equivalents would be a perfect match for the patient they are taken from. It may take years to develop these techniques to the point that they can be economically offered to patients, and it could also take years to figure out how to use these cells in treatment, but this holds huge potential for medicine.
- Phil's last breakthrough idea is a proposal for social and political science. All societies divide work between the government and the private sector. Some societies lean toward more government, some toward the private sector. Here in the United States the political left and right fight back and forth between more government and more private sector solutions.
What if we could step back from that fight for a moment and develop an objective science. Create computer simulations of the world and run 1000s of simulations to learn the right balance between government and private sector solutions to maximize happiness for the most people.
Stephen thought it was a great idea, but warned that the assumptions about reality that the programmers insert into the simulation could definitely affect the outcome. Those assumptions would need to be disclosed and debated.
The Music:
Our front bumper is a sample of Marginal Prophets' "The Difficult Song."
Our exit music this week is from Elevation. The song is "Razoreyes."
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Comments
Really cool future astronomy
I put this in under another posting before I saw this posting, a much more appropriate one for this:
"Located 9,200 feet above sea level, atop the Apache Point Observatory in Sunspot, New Mexico, the Sloan Digital Sky Survey telescope cannot match the incredibly sharp vision of the Hubble Space Telescope, which orbits above Earth's blurring atmosphere. And, at a modest 2.5 meters (8 feet) across, the Sloan telescope's main mirror cannot see the incredibly dim objects that the 10-meter (33-foot) Keck telescopes in Hawaii can. What the Sloan telescope does have in spades is a voracious appetite for sky--an appetite that is producing some of the most amazing discoveries in astronomy.
"With its giant set of light-sensitive imaging sensors, the Sloan telescope has a field of view so wide it can image 36 full moons' worth of sky at once (Hubble, in contrast, is limited to a view less than one-tenth of a moon across). Night after night it scans vast swaths of the heavens and downloads its observations into a 73-terabyte (and growing) digital database that covers almost half the night sky as seen from Apache Point. Swept up in the Sloan's relentless gaze are stars, galaxies, supernovas, nebulas, and more, over 350 million celestial objects in total, adding up to the most complete census of the universe ever conducted."
Can you imagine how cool it would be to have an advanced version of this telescope sweeping the skies while in Earth orbit, like the Hubble. Even better, if the aperture was much MUCH larger. Even better than that, built out of nanobots and run by AI software. Oooooooo!
All the things we could know. All the places we could see.
Posted by: Sally Morem | March 15, 2009 11:16 AM
As far as using evolutionary development modeling to identify whether "middle ground" issues are best handled by markets or governments, how about this idea: Testable Legislation. By that I mean (1) a law is passed which identifies two statistically similar areas of the country and implements a Market Solution in area A and a Government solution in area B (2) accomplishment benchmarks pre-set in the legislation are carefully tracked and (3) the better solution is proved experimentally and (4) the better solution is automatically implemented as previously agreed to in the legislation and by all the parties who passed and signed the law.
Posted by: Dave Coles | March 17, 2009 05:30 AM
I have some praise, and a suggestion. The praise is for the sound effect intro and exito to the "Astounding Science Facts" segment of the program, and the ones for "Tales of the Paranormal". I love them. Uh, and my suggestion is a little more of that, with more Theremin and cowbell.
Posted by: Harvey | March 17, 2009 07:30 AM
I've got a fever. And the prescription is more cowbell.
Posted by: Phil Bowermaster | March 17, 2009 08:11 AM